Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, 3/1/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers
Date: Monday, March 1, 2021
Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB
Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-120) Oilers (+100)
Mike Smith and the Edmonton Oilers (14-9-0) play the Toronto Maple Leafs (16-4-2) at Rogers Place on Monday. The Oilers open this matchup at +100 while the Maple Leafs are priced at -120. The total opens at 6.5.
The Maple Leafs were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 4-0 victory over the Oilers the last time they stepped on the ice. Their offensive zone starts sat at 37.1% and their PDO was 110.7 for this game. They earned 26 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 25 attempts to win the puck. Their Fenwick came in at 33 and the Fenwick against was 46, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 41.8%. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 38 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 58 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 39.6%. Toronto compiled 2 penalty minutes in this matchup. In addition, they had 1 power play chance and were able to notch 1 goal. The Maple Leafs had a impressive offensive performance in the win. In the matchup, they scored on 4 of the 29 shots they looked to score on.
Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have earned 68 power play tries (9th in pro hockey) and have a total of 14 goals in those attempts. The Maple Leafs have had 629 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .913. Toronto has tried 658 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 11.9%. When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed the opponent to score 41 goals while getting 56 on the offensive side of the ice. Toronto is sitting with 68 power play opportunities and they have notched 22 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 32.35%. For the year, the have a total of 34 points and their points percentage comes in at .773. With regard to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have racked up 78 goals (2nd in the league) this year and have surrendered 55.
The player protecting the goal in this game is Frederik Andersen. Over the course of his career, Andersen has compiled 216 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .578. His save percentage currently sits at .916 for his 22,136 minutes guarding the cage. Andersen has seen 11,557 shots against him and has garnered 10,587 saves. The opposition has scored 970 goals versus Andersen in his pro hockey career and his goals against average is 2.63. He has amassed a record of 224-95-47 and he has gotten the start in 374 games. Andersen has been involved in 385 games over the course of his hockey career.
In their loss to Toronto, Edmonton wound up with a 60.4% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Edmonton had and you could say that they have had better days on the ice. Their Fenwick rate was 58.2% by way of having a Fenwick of 46 and the Maple Leafs ending the game with a 33 Fenwick. They had a PDO at even strength of 89 and they had an oZS percentage of 62.9%. The Oilers scored 0 goals of the 30 shots on goal they attempted. They had 1 power play chance in this game but weren't able to put one in the back of the net.
For the year, the Edmonton Oilers have accounted for 79 goals, 28 points, as well as a points percentage of .609. They have allowed 69 goals to be scored by way of 53 goals at even strength and 16 goals while they were shorthanded. The Oilers have tallied 57 goals at even strength and 22 goals (2nd in pro hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have a tally of 81 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play percentage of 27.16%. Edmonton has taken 709 shots (3rd in pro hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 11.14%, while allowing the other team 744 shots. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 77.46% on the other teams 71 power play tries, and their save percentage currently comes in at 90.7%.
Across the rink you are likely to see Mike Smith between the pipes. Smith has amassed a career record of 268-249-74 and has played in 618 contests. Smith's quality start rate sits at 53.1% and he has accumulated 307 quality starts in his career. He has accrued 16,431 saves out of the 18,021 shots taken, which gives him a save % of .912. His opposition is averaging 2.70 goals/game and he has yielded 1,590 goals in total. He has been a starter 578 games and has played for a total of 35,274 mins.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Edmonton (+100) and under 6.5 goals
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