Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 10/25/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators
Date: Monday, October 25, 2021
Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON
Odds/Point Spread: Capitals (-167) Senators (+115)
Canadian Tire Centre is the venue where Matt Murray and the Ottawa Senators (2-3-0) will play the Washington Capitals (3-0-2) on Monday. The Capitals open this game at -167 while the Senators are priced at +115. The over/under has been set at 5.5.
The Capitals will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 4-3 loss to the Flames in their last game. The Capitals had an average offensive output in the loss. In the game, they converted 3 out of the 25 shots they tried. Additionally, they had 4 power play opportunities but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. Washington amassed 8 penalty minutes in this game. The Corsi for the Capitals was sitting at 49 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 46 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 51.6%. Their Fenwick came in at 31 and the Fenwick against was 29, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 51.7%. They accrued 21 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 26 opportunities to gain puck control. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 46.8% and they had a PDO at even strength of 100.5 in this one.
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The Capitals have had 128 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .914. When at even strength, the Capitals let the opposition score 7 goals while getting 16 of their own. Washington Capitals opponents have totaled 14 power play opportunities (23rd in the league) and have scored 4 goals in those attempts. For the current season, they sit with 8 points and their points percentage sits at .800. Washington has attempted 152 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 12.5%. In reference to scoring goals, the Washington Capitals have racked up 19 goals (8th in pro hockey) on the season and have given up 11. Washington steps onto the ice with 20 power play opportunities and they have notched 3 goals out of those chances, earning them a percentage of 15.00%.
The player protecting the goal in this game is Ilya Samsonov. Samsonov has played in 46 games over the course of his NHL career. He has amassed an overall record of 30-10-3 and he has gotten the start in 41 games. Opponents have been able to score 112 goals versus Samsonov in his NHL career and his goals against average per game is 2.62. Samsonov has had 1,215 shot attempts taken against him and he has 1,103 saves. His save percentage currently is at .908 during his 2,564 minutes guarding the cage. During his career on the ice, Samsonov is sitting with 20 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .488.
Their last time out, Ottawa faced the Rangers in a game where the Senators went home in defeat by a mark of 3-2. Ottawa wound up with a 54.7% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Ottawa had and it tells us that they didn't have their best game. Their Fenwick rate was 59.3% by way of having a Fenwick of 35 and the Rangers having notched a 24 Fenwick. Their PDO was 95 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 69.1%. The Senators scored 2 goals of the 28 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 4 power play chances in this outing but weren't able to put one in the back of the net.
Ottawa has attempted 143 shots (23rd in professional hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 6.99%, while allowing the other team 161 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 76.47% on the other teams 17 power play tries, and their save percentage currently sits at 92.5%. They have a tally of 16 chances on the power play and they have a power play rate of 25.00%. The Senators have tallied 6 goals at even strength and 4 goals (15th in the NHL) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 12 goals to be scored by of a combination of 8 goals at even strength and 4 goals while they were shorthanded. So far this year, the Ottawa Senators have 10 goals, 4 points, as well as a points percentage of .400.
Across the rink you are going to see Matt Murray in net. Opponents are averaging 2.74 goals/game and he has surrendered 586 goals in total. Murray's quality start rate is 52.5% and he has accumulated 115 quality starts in his pro career. He has been a starter 219 games and has been on the ice for 12,828 minutes. Murray is the owner of a career record of 127-67-20 and has been in net for 227 contests. He has accrued 6,053 stops out of the 6,639 shots tried, which gives him a rate of .912.
Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take Washington (-167)
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