Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 3/13/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers
Date: Saturday, March 13, 2021
Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA
TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia
Odds/Point Spread: Capitals (+103) Flyers (-114)
Ilya Samsonov and the Washington Capitals (16-6-4) travel to Wells Fargo Center on Saturday where they'll meet the Philadelphia Flyers (13-8-3). The Capitals open this matchup at +103 while the Flyers are priced at -114. The over/under is set at 6.
The Capitals came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 5-3 win against the Flyers in the last game they played. The Capitals had a solid offensive performance in this win. In the game, they earned a goal on 5 out of the 22 shots they put on net. Furthermore, they had 2 chances with the advantage but didn't net one. Washington recorded 13 mins in the box in this game. The Corsi for the Capitals was 29 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 45 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 39.2%. Their Fenwick came in at 22 and the Fenwick against finished at 37, giving them a Fenwick rate of 37.3%. They garnered 23 face-off victories at even strength and lost on 30 attempts to win the face-off. Their offensive zone starts came in at 17.6% and their PDO was 120.9 in this game.
Washington Capitals opponents have 83 power play tries (12th in professional hockey) and have tallied 15 goals in those attempts. The Capitals have had 776 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .896. Washington has taken 745 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.7%. When at even strength, the Capitals have surrendered 66 goals while getting 70 on offense. Washington comes into tonight with 65 power play opportunities and they have notched 17 goals during those chances, garnering them a percentage of 26.15%. For the year, they have tallied 36 points and their points % is .692. In relation to their scoring capabilities, the Washington Capitals have tallied 87 goals (6th in the National Hockey League) on the season and have given up 81.
The player in the crease for this game is Ilya Samsonov. Throughout his time in hockey, Samsonov has recorded 15 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .556. His save percentage currently sits at .912 during his 1,740 minutes on the ice. Samsonov has had 840 shots against him and has garnered 766 total saves. The opposition has notched 74 goals against Samsonov in his pro hockey career and his goals against average is 2.55. He has accumulated a record of 20-6-3 and he has gotten the start in 27 games. Samsonov has played in 32 games over the course of his pro hockey career.
In their loss to Washington, the Flyers wound up with a 60.8% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Philadelphia played and it tells us they had an average game overall. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 62.7% by way of having a Fenwick of 37 and the Capitals finishing with a 22 Fenwick at even strength. Their PDO was 79 and their oZS percentage was 82.4%. The Flyers scored 3 goals of the 33 shots on goal they pursued. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this contest and earned 1 out of those chances.
Philadelphia has tried 667 shots (29th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 11.69%, while allowing their opponents 730 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 73.68% on their opponents 76 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 89.6%. They have recorded 84 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 19.05%. The Flyers have earned 62 goals at even strength and 16 goals (20th in hockey) while on the power play. They have allowed 76 goals to be scored by of a combination of 56 goals at even strength and 20 goals while they had less men on the ice. So far this year, the Philadelphia Flyers have 78 goals, 29 points, as well as a points percentage of .604.
For the opposition you are likely to see Carter Hart in net. His opponents are averaging 2.76 goals per game and he has relinquished 225 goals in total. Hart's quality start rate sits at 54.1% and he has accumulated 46 quality starts in his pro career. He has made the start in 85 games and has been on the ice for 4,888 minutes. Hart has amassed a lifetime mark of 46-31-7 and has participated in 89 games. He has recorded 2,289 saves out of the 2,514 shots attempted, which gives him a save percentage of .911.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Washington (+103)
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