Winnipeg Jets vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 3/9/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Winnipeg Jets vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Date: Tuesday, March 9, 2021
Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON
Odds/Point Spread: Jets (+150) Maple Leafs (-182)
Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (18-6-2) host the Winnipeg Jets (15-8-1) at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday. The Jets open this matchup at +150 while the Maple Leafs are priced at -182. The over/under opens at 6.5.
The Jets will need a bounce back game after taking a 7-1 defeat against the Canadiens their last time out. The Jets had a below average offensive performance in this loss. In the outing, they tallied a score on 1 of the 29 shots they attempted. Moreover, they had 2 chances on the power play and were able to notch 1 goal. Winnipeg had 4 mins in the box in this game. The Corsi for the Jets sat at 49 and the Corsi against was 48 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 50.5%. Their Fenwick was 36 and the Fenwick Against sat at 36, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 50.0%. They accumulated 19 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 26 attempts to win the puck. Their offensive zone starts were at 48.1% and they had a PDO of 74.1 for this game.
When discussing scoring goals, the Winnipeg Jets have accounted for 79 goals (9th in the league) on the year and have surrendered 68. For the current season, they sit with 31 points and their points percentage comes in at .646. Winnipeg has 72 power play opportunities and they have added 17 goals during those advantages, giving them a rate of 23.61%. When at even strength, the Jets have conceded 54 goals while having 62 of their own. Winnipeg has taken 713 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.1%. The Jets have had 757 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .910. Winnipeg Jets opponents have totaled 61 power play tries (28th in the NHL) and have scored 14 goals in those chances.
The player between the pipes for this game is Connor Hellebuyck. Hellebuyck has taken the ice for 289 matchups over the course of his pro hockey career. He has earned a mark of 159-92-23 and he was named the starter in 280 games. Opponents have been able to score 728 goals versus Hellebuyck in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per game is 2.64. Hellebuyck has had 8,723 shots taken against him and has gathered 7,995 saves. His save percentage sits at .917 in his 16,525 minutes in the crease. Over the course of his pro career, Hellebuyck has tallied 151 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .539.
In their last contest, Toronto went up against the Canucks in a matchup where the Maple Leafs ended up losing by a final of 4-2. They had a PDO of 97 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 52.5%. They had 1 chance on the power play in this game but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. They had a Fenwick percentage of 58.8% by way of having a Fenwick of 50 and the Canucks having accrued a 35 Fenwick. The Maple Leafs recorded 2 goals out of the 39 shots on goal they tried. Toronto went home with a 59.7% Corsi rate. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Toronto played and you could say that they have had better days on the ice.
The Maple Leafs have tallied 65 goals at even strength and 25 goals (1st in pro hockey) while having a power play advantage. Toronto has tried 784 shots (7th in the league) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.48%, while allowing their opponents 746 shots. During this campaign, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accounted for 90 goals, 38 points, in addition to a points percentage of .731. They have a tally of 80 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 31.25%. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 77.33% on their opponents 75 tries on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 91.6%. They have granted a total of 63 goals to be scored by of a combination of 46 goals at even strength and 17 goals while they had less men on the ice.
On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Frederik Andersen protecting the net. His opponents are averaging 2.63 goals per game and he has relinquished 975 goals overall. Andersen's percentage of quality starts sits at 57.7% and he has earned 217 quality starts in his career. He has made the start in 376 games and has racked up 22,254 minutes. Andersen has a career mark of 225-96-47 and has played in 387 contests. He has a tally of 10,640 stops out of 11,615 shots tried, giving him a save percentage of .916.
Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Winnipeg (+150)
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