Philadelphia Flyers vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 4/5/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Friday, April 5, 2024

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: MSG Network

Odds/Point Spread: Flyers (-105) Sabres (-115)

The Buffalo Sabres (36-35-5) will try to defeat the Philadelphia Flyers (36-29-11) at KeyBank Center on Friday. The line on this contest has the Flyers at -105 while the Sabres are opening at -115. The over/under is set at 7.

The Philadelphia Flyers will look to clean up some issues after taking a 4-3 defeat to the Islanders their last time out. The Flyers had a middle of the road offensive performance in the defeat. For the game, they tallied a score on 3 out of the 33 shots they tried. Moreover, they had 2 opportunities with more players on the ice but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. Philadelphia accounted for 4 penalty mins in this contest.

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At even strength, the Flyers have allowed the opponent to score 198 goals while notching 187 when they are on offense. Philadelphia Flyers opponents have totaled 233 power play tries (12th in the league) and have earned 38 goals in those attempts. In regard to their scoring capabilities, the Philadelphia Flyers have accumulated 218 goals (24th in pro hockey) on the year and have surrendered 236. Philadelphia has tried 2,524 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 8.6%. For the current campaign, they have tallied 83 points and their points percentage is sitting at .546. The Flyers have seen 2,080 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .887. Philadelphia comes into tonight with 240 power play opportunities and they have notched 31 goals during those advantages, earning them a rate of 12.92%.

The player between the pipes for this game is Samuel Ersson. Opponents have notched 152 goals against Ersson in his pro hockey career and his goals against rate is 2.86. Ersson has taken the ice for 58 matchups over the course of his hockey career. He has a save percentage of .893 during his 3,185 mins guarding the cage. He has earned an overall record of 27-19-7 and he has gotten the start in 54 games. Over the course of his time in hockey, Ersson has accumulated 29 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .537. Ersson has had 1,419 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 1,267 total saves.

When they took the ice last, Buffalo opposed the Capitals in an outing where the Sabres ended up with the win by a final score of 6-2. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this contest and recorded 2 out of those tries. The Sabres had 6 goals out of the 35 shots on goal they tried.

The Sabres have tallied 192 goals at even strength and 35 goals (30th in the league) while on the power play. Buffalo has taken 2,376 shots (13th in pro hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 9.55%, while allowing the opposition 2,221 shots. Over the course of the season, the Buffalo Sabres have a total of 227 goals, 77 points, as well as a points percentage of .507. They have allowed 228 goals to be scored by of a combination of 180 goals at even strength and 48 goals while they were shorthanded. They have earned 213 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play rate of 16.43%. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 79.31% on their opponents 232 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 89.7%.

Across the ice you will find Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen in goal. Teams are averaging 3.00 goals/game and he has allowed 271 goals overall. Luukkonen's quality start rate sits at 54.9% and he has made 50 quality starts in his pro career. He has been a starter 91 games and his ice time sits at 5,413 minutes. Luukkonen is sitting with a career record of 45-39-9 and has played in 95 games. He has recorded 2,531 stops out of 2,802 shots taken, giving him a save percentage of .903.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-105)

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