Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 4/6/2024 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Saturday, April 6, 2024

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: TSN

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-218) Canadiens (+180)

Bell Centre is the location where the Montreal Canadiens (29-34-12) will compete against the Toronto Maple Leafs (43-23-9) on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has Toronto at -218 and Montreal is sitting at +180. The betting total comes in at 7.

The Toronto Maple Leafs will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 4-1 loss against the Lightning in their previous contest . The Maple Leafs offense left a lot to be desired in the loss. In the game, they tallied a score on 1 out of the 29 shots they looked to score on. In addition, they had 4 attempts on the power play and notched 1 goal. Toronto compiled 13 minutes in the box for this contest.

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At even strength, the Maple Leafs have surrendered 186 goals while notching 218 on offense. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have tallied 213 power play tries (26th in the league) and have racked up 47 goals in those chances. In reference to their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accounted for 271 goals (3rd in hockey) for the season and have conceded 233. Toronto has attempted 2,447 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 11.1%. For the current campaign, they have 95 points and their points percentage is .633. The Maple Leafs so far have had 2,241 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .896. Toronto has tallied 217 power play opportunities and they have added 53 goals during those advantages, giving them a percentage of 24.42%.

The man in goal for this game is Ilya Samsonov. The opposition has scored 429 goals against Samsonov in his pro career and his average for goals against per game is 2.74. Samsonov has played in 167 contests during his NHL career. His save percentage currently sits at .905 during his 9,402 minutes on the ice. He has earned a win-loss record of 100-38-20 and he was named the starter in 155 games. For his professional hockey career, Samsonov has accrued 77 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .497. Samsonov has had 4,493 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 4,064 saves.

Their last time out, Montreal faced the Lightning in an outing where the Canadiens ended up taking the loss by a final score of 7-4. They had 4 opportunities on the power play in this one but didn't score a goal. The Canadiens scored 4 goals of the 30 shots on goal they were seeking.

This season, the Montreal Canadiens have 205 goals, 70 points, and a points percentage of .467. They have permitted 253 goals to be scored by way of 193 goals at even strength and 60 goals while they were shorthanded. The Canadiens have accumulated 163 goals at even strength and 42 goals (22nd in the NHL) while having more men on the ice. They have a total of 244 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play rate of 17.21%. Montreal has attempted 2,092 shots (27th in hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 9.80%, while allowing the other team 2,476 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 76.92% on the other teams 260 power play chances, and their save percentage is currently 89.8%.

Across the rink you are likely to see Sam Montembeault in goal. Teams are averaging 3.36 goals per contest and he has yielded 436 goals altogether. Montembeault's percentage of quality starts comes out to 53.2% and he has accumulated 66 quality starting assignments in his career. He has been a starter 124 contests and has played for a total of 7,784 minutes. Montembeault is the owner of a career record of 48-59-19 and has played in 140 games. He has tallied 3,864 saves out of 4,300 shots tried, giving him a save % of .899.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-218)

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