Calgary Flames vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 3/4/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Calgary Flames vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Tuesday, March 4, 2025

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-144) Flyers (+120)

The Philadelphia Flyers (27-26-8) will take on the Calgary Flames (28-23-9) at Wells Fargo Center on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has the Flames at -144 and the Flyers are opening at +120. The over/under comes in at 6.

The Calgary Flames will need a bounce back game after taking a 2-1 defeat to the Hurricanes in their previous contest . Calgary compiled 17 penalty mins for this matchup. Furthermore, they had 4 opportunities with more players on the ice and notched 1 goal. The Flames could have played much better offensively in this loss. For the game, they converted 1 out of the 16 shots they tried.

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With respect to their goal scoring prowess, the Calgary Flames have earned 152 goals (30th in pro hockey) this year and have given up 175. For the current campaign, they have racked up 65 points and their points % is .542. Calgary steps onto the ice with 174 power play opportunities and they have notched 37 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a rate of 21.26%. When at even strength, the Flames have given up 128 goals while notching 115 on offense. Calgary has attempted 1,736 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 8.8%. The Flames have had 1,760 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .901. Calgary Flames opponents have amassed 180 power play opportunities (7th in the league) and have a total of 47 goals in those attempts.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Dustin Wolf. Wolf has taken the ice for 54 games throughout his NHL career. He has amassed a win-loss mark of 28-19-5 and he has gotten the start in 52 games. The opposition has been able to score 144 goals against Wolf in his professional career and his goals against average per contest is 7.85. Wolf has seen 1,564 shots taken against him and has recorded 1,420 saves. His save percentage sits at .908 in his 1,100 mins in the crease. In his professional hockey career, Wolf has 29 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .558.

In their last contest, Philadelphia played the Jets in a matchup where the Flyers got the tie by a mark of 1-1. The Flyers had 1 goal out of the 32 shots on goal they attempted. They had 1 chance on the power play in this outing but didn't put one in the back of the net.

Philadelphia has taken 1,673 shots (22nd in the NHL) and has a shooting percentage of 10.52%, while allowing the opposition 1,638 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 79.33% on their oppositions 150 power play tries, and their save percentage comes in at 87.9%. They have earned 160 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play rate of 16.25%. The Flyers have 150 goals at even strength and 26 goals (29th in the NHL) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 199 goals to be scored by of a combination of 168 goals at even strength and 31 goals while they were shorthanded. For the season, the Philadelphia Flyers have notched a total of 176 goals, 62 points, in addition to a points percentage of .508.

For the opposition you are likely to see Samuel Ersson patrolling the crease. Ersson has earned a career record of 47-32-11 and has participated in 97 games. Ersson's quality start rate sits at 53.3% and he has accumulated 49 quality starting assignments in his career. He has recorded 2,112 stops out of the 2,366 shots tried, which gives him a save % of .893. His opponents are averaging 4.31 goals/game and he has relinquished 254 goals overall. He has made the start in 92 contests and has accumulated 3,533 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Calgary (-144)

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