Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 11/26/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (+172) Lightning (-210)

Amalie Arena is the site where the Tampa Bay Lightning (13-7-2) will try to beat the Calgary Flames (8-13-3) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Flames at +172 and the Lightning are priced at -210. The over/under has been set at 6.

The Calgary Flames were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 5-2 victory against the Canucks in the last game they played. Calgary accrued 8 penalty mins in this matchup. Moreover, they had 4 attempts on the power play but weren't able to score. The Flames had a good offensive outing and it showed in this win. For the game, they converted 5 of the 21 shots they looked to score on.

Get all of our NHL Expert Picks

With respect to their scoring capabilities, the Calgary Flames have earned 57 goals (30th in hockey) this year and have allowed 71. For the current campaign, they have scored 19 points and their points percentage is .396. Calgary comes into the game with 82 power play opportunities and they have notched 11 goals during those chances, garnering them a rate of 13.41%. While playing at even strength, the Flames have surrendered 55 goals while earning 46 of their own. Calgary has attempted 707 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 8.1%. The Flames have seen 688 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .897. Calgary Flames opponents have earned 81 power play tries (2nd in hockey) and have come away with 16 goals in those attempts.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Dustin Wolf. For his professional hockey career, Wolf has accrued 47 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .534. He has a save percentage of .904 in his 3,808 minutes guarding the cage. Wolf has seen 2,554 shots against him and has recorded 2,309 saves. Opponents have been able to score 245 goals against Wolf in his pro career and his average for goals against per game is 2.78. He has compiled an overall mark of 43-34-11 and he has gotten the start in 88 games. Wolf has participated in 90 contests throughout his professional hockey career.

When they were on the ice last, Tampa Bay opposed the Flyers in a matchup where the Lightning notched a win by a final score of 3-0. They had 2 power play attempts in this game but didn't put one in the back of the net. The Lightning recorded 3 goals out of the 18 shots on goal they were seeking.

The Lightning have tallied 58 goals at even strength and 11 goals (21st in pro hockey) while on the power play. Tampa Bay has tried 578 shots (24th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.94%, while allowing the opposition 606 shots. Over the course of the season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a total of 69 goals, 28 points, as well as a points percentage of .636. They have permitted 60 goals to be scored by way of 51 goals at even strength and 9 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have a total of 70 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play percentage of 15.71%. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 87.50% on their oppositions 72 power play chances, and their save percentage is 90.1%.

For the opposition you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy defending the goal. His opponents are averaging 2.51 goals per contest and he has allowed 1,372 goals in total. Vasilevskiy's rate of quality starts sits at 58.1% and he has qualified for 317 quality starts in his professional career. He was named a starter in 546 contests and has been on the ice for 28,659 mins. Vasilevskiy has accumulated a career record of 340-168-37 and has been in goal for 556 games. He has recorded 15,151 saves out of 16,523 shots attempted, giving him a rate of .917.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-210)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NHL picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.