Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 5/3/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars

Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (-135) Stars (+115)

American Airlines Center is where the Dallas Stars (50-26-6) will meet the Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4) on Saturday in Game 7 of the Western Conference first round with the series locked up at 3 - 3. The line on this contest has Colorado at -135 while Dallas opens at +115. The over/under comes in at 6.

The Colorado Avalanche will head into their this game feeling good after earning a 7-4 victory against the Stars in Game 6. Colorado garnered 2 penalty minutes for this contest. Additionally, they had 2 chances with the advantage but didn't get a goal. The Avalanche had a great offensive game plan going into this one and it showed in this win. In the game, they tallied a score on 7 of the 48 shots they attempted.

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When at even strength, the Avalanche have conceded 189 goals while notching 215 on offense. Colorado Avalanche opponents have 208 power play opportunities (22nd in the league) and have a total of 42 goals in those attempts. In regard to scoring goals, the Colorado Avalanche have tallied 273 goals (6th in the league) on the year and have given up 231. Colorado has taken 2,451 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.1%. For the season, they have scored 102 points and their points percentage is sitting at .622. The Avalanche thus far have had 2,126 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .891. Colorado steps onto the ice with 234 power play chances and they have added 58 goals out of those tries, giving them a rate of 24.79%.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Mackenzie Blackwood. Blackwood has been in goal for 252 games over the course of his pro hockey career. He has amassed a win-loss mark of 103-103-28 and was named the starter in 237 games. Opponents have notched 701 goals against Blackwood in his pro career and his goals against rate is 3.78. Blackwood has had 7,428 shots taken against him and has gathered 6,727 total saves. He has a save percentage of .906 for his 11,134 mins on the ice. Throughout his time in hockey, Blackwood has recorded 132 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .557.

In Game 6, Carolina had 1 chance on the power play in this matchup and notched 1 on that opportunity. The Hurricanes netted 5 goals of the 29 shots on goal they took.

During this campaign, the Dallas Stars have 275 goals, 106 points, in addition to a points percentage of .646. They have allowed 222 goals to be scored by of a combination of 181 goals at even strength and 41 goals while they were shorthanded. The Stars have tallied 220 goals at even strength and 55 goals (10th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have a total of 250 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play rate of 22.00%. Dallas has attempted 2,325 shots (14th in the league) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.83%, while allowing the other team 2,382 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 82.02% on the other teams 228 power play chances, and their save percentage sits at 90.7%.

For the opposition you are likely to see Jake Oettinger in the crease. The opposition is averaging 3.26 goals per contest and he has yielded 608 goals overall. Oettinger's quality start percentage sits at 58.7% and he has 142 quality starting assignments in his career. He has been a starter 242 games and has played for a total of 11,183 minutes. Oettinger has amassed a lifetime mark of 149-66-27 and has played in 251 contests. He is sitting with 6,296 stops out of the 6,904 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save percentage of .912.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas (+115)

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