Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, 5/1/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Thursday, May 1, 2025

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (+155) Avalanche (-185)

Down 2 - 3 in the series, the Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4) are welcoming the Dallas Stars (50-26-6) at Ball Arena on Thursday in Game 6 of the Western Conference first round. The odds on this game have Dallas at +155 while Colorado is sitting at -185. The total is set at 6.

The Dallas Stars came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 6-2 win over the Avalanche in Game 5. Dallas had 32 mins in the box in this matchup. Furthermore, they had 4 power play opportunities and scored 1 goal. The Stars had a good offensive performance and it was apparent in the victory. While out there on the ice, they scored on 6 out of the 27 shots they attempted.

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When at even strength, the Stars have allowed the opponent to score 181 goals while having 220 on the offensive side of the ice. Dallas Stars opponents have tallied 228 power play opportunities (15th in the NHL) and have come away with 41 goals in those attempts. When discussing scoring goals, the Dallas Stars have earned 275 goals (4th in hockey) this season and have given up 222. Dallas has attempted 2,325 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 11.8%. For the current campaign, they have 106 points and their points percentage is sitting at .646. The Stars have had 2,382 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .907. Dallas has accounted for 250 power play opportunities and they have tallied 55 goals out of those chances, garnering them a percentage of 22.00%.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Jake Oettinger. Oettinger has been involved in 251 contests over the course of his professional hockey career. He has earned a win-loss mark of 149-66-27 and he was named the starter in 242 games. The opposition has been able to score 608 goals versus Oettinger in his NHL career and his average for goals against per game is 3.26. Oettinger has seen 6,904 shots against him and he has 6,296 total saves. His save percentage currently is at .912 during his 11,183 mins played. Over the course of his time in hockey, Oettinger has recorded 142 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .587.

In Game 5, Vegas had 3 attempts on the power play in this outing but weren't able to notch a goal. The Golden Knights tallied 4 goals of the 46 shots on goal they tried.

The Avalanche have earned 215 goals at even strength and 58 goals (6th in the league) while having a power play advantage. Colorado has put up 2,451 shots (5th in hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.14%, while allowing the other team 2,126 shots. So far this year, the Colorado Avalanche have tallied 273 goals, 102 points, and a points percentage of .622. They have permitted 231 goals to be scored by of a combination of 189 goals at even strength and 42 goals while they were shorthanded. They have a total of 234 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 24.79%. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 79.81% on the other teams 208 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 89.1%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Mackenzie Blackwood protecting the goal. His opponents are averaging 3.78 goals per contest and he has surrendered 701 goals overall. Blackwood's rate of quality starts sits at 55.7% and he has accumulated 132 quality starts in his NHL career. He has made the start in 237 games and has accumulated 11,134 mins. Blackwood has earned a lifetime mark of 103-103-28 and has been in goal for 252 games. He has accounted for 6,727 stops out of 7,428 shots taken, giving him a percentage of .906.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Dallas (+155)

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