Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 10/30/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Thursday, October 30, 2025

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: TNT/HBO Max

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (-275) Lightning (+220)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (4-4-2) will compete against the Dallas Stars (6-3-1) at Amalie Arena on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has Dallas at -275 while Tampa Bay is coming in at +220. The total is 6.5.

The Dallas Stars were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 1-0 win over the Capitals in their previous contest . Dallas amassed 6 minutes in the box in this contest. In addition, they had 4 chances with the advantage and notched 1 goal. The Stars could have played much better offensively in the victory. In the game, they netted 1 of the 19 shots they put on net.

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When playing at even strength, the Stars have allowed the opponent to score 21 goals while earning 17 of their own. Dallas Stars opponents have 31 power play opportunities (19th in hockey) and have scored 9 goals in those chances. Pertaining to their goal scoring prowess, the Dallas Stars have tallied 28 goals (24th in the NHL) this season and have surrendered 30. Dallas has taken 268 shots and has a shot percentage of 10.5%. For the year, they have racked up 13 points and their points percentage is sitting at .650. The Stars have seen 284 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .894. Dallas has tallied 35 power play opportunities and they have tallied 11 goals during those chances, giving them a percentage of 31.43%.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Jake Oettinger. For his career, Oettinger has recorded 147 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .588. His save percentage is .912 in his 13,323 minutes in the crease. Oettinger has seen 7,135 shots taken against him and has amassed 6,506 total saves. The opposition has been able to score 629 goals versus Oettinger in his NHL career and his goals against average is 2.52. He has amassed an overall mark of 154-68-28 and he has gotten the start in 250 games. Oettinger has played in 259 matchups during his NHL career.

Their last time out, Tampa Bay played the Predators in a game where the Lightning ended up with the victory by a mark of 5-2. They had 4 opportunities on the power play in this matchup but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. The Lightning tallied 5 goals of the 30 shots on goal they tried.

During this campaign, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 29 goals, 10 points, as well as a points percentage of .500. They have permitted 30 goals to be scored by of a combination of 26 goals at even strength and 4 goals while they were shorthanded. The Lightning have tallied 24 goals at even strength and 5 goals (25th in the league) while on the power play. They have a total of 35 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 14.29%. Tampa Bay has tried 262 shots (26th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.07%, while allowing the other team 292 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 88.24% on the other teams 34 power play chances, and their save percentage currently sits at 89.7%.

For the opposition you are likely to see Andrei Vasilevskiy in goal. Vasilevskiy is the owner of a career record of 333-166-37 and has been in net for 547 games. Vasilevskiy's rate of quality starts sits at 57.5% and he has qualified for 309 quality starts in his career. He has racked up 14,939 stops out of 16,294 shots taken against him, giving him a save % of .917. His opponents are averaging 2.52 goals/game and he has conceded 1,355 goals altogether. He has been a starter 537 games and his ice time sits at 28,637 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Dallas (-275)

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