Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 4/30/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Panthers (+162) Lightning (-196)

Leading the series 3 - 1, the Florida Panthers (47-31-4) are hitting the road to Amalie Arena on Wednesday where they will attempt to defeat the Tampa Bay Lightning (47-27-8) in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference first round. The moneyline on this contest has the Panthers at +162 and the Lightning are coming in at -196. The betting total is set at 6.

The Florida Panthers went home feeling good about their game by earning a 4-2 win over the Lightning in Game 4. The Panthers had a solid offensive output and it showed in the victory. In the outing, they scored on 4 out of the 23 shots they put on net. Moreover, they had 3 opportunities with more players on the ice but weren't able to score a goal. Florida garnered 17 penalty minutes for this contest.

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Florida Panthers opponents have 244 power play opportunities (6th in professional hockey) and have scored 47 goals in those attempts. The Panthers have seen 2,146 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .896. Florida has tried 2,588 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.5%. While at even strength, the Panthers let the opposition score 176 goals while notching 190 themselves. Florida has compiled 238 power play chances and they have notched 56 goals out of those tries, garnering them a percentage of 23.53%. For the season, they sit with 98 points and their points % is .598. In the matter of their scoring, the Florida Panthers have earned 246 goals (15th in the league) so far this year and have allowed 223.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Sergei Bobrovsky. For his career, Bobrovsky has accrued 428 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .580. He has a save percentage of .914 during his 40,458 mins in the crease. Bobrovsky has seen 21,794 shot attempts against him and has amassed 19,926 saves. Opponents have been able to score 1,868 goals against Bobrovsky in his pro hockey career and his goals against average is 2.77. He has accumulated a win-loss record of 429-243-57 and he has gotten the start in 738 games. Bobrovsky has played in 754 contests over the course of his professional hockey career.

In Game 4, they had 2 chances on the power play in this one but weren't able to notch a goal. The Hurricanes netted 5 goals of the 29 shots on goal they took.

Tampa Bay has tried 2,341 shots (12th in the NHL) and has a shooting percentage of 12.47%, while allowing the other team 2,311 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 81.55% on the other teams 206 tries on the power play, and their save percentage currently comes in at 90.7%. They have a tally of 232 chances on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 25.86%. The Lightning have tallied 232 goals at even strength and 60 goals (5th in pro hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have allowed 216 goals to be scored by of a combination of 178 goals at even strength and 38 goals while they had less men on the ice. This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a total of 292 goals, 102 points, as well as a points percentage of .622.

On the other side of the ice you are expected to see Andrei Vasilevskiy between the pipes. Vasilevskiy is sitting with a lifetime mark of 331-163-35 and has been in net for 540 games. Vasilevskiy's rate of quality starts comes in at 57.7% and he has qualified for 306 quality starts in his professional career. He is sitting with 14,772 saves out of the 16,107 shots taken, giving him a save percentage of .917. His opponents are averaging 2.84 goals per game and he has relinquished 1,335 goals in total. He has started in 530 contests and his ice time sits at 28,204 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-196)

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