Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 5/5/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Monday, May 5, 2025

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Panthers (-125) Maple Leafs (+105)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4) host the Florida Panthers (47-31-4) at Scotiabank Arena on Monday in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. The odds on this game have Florida at -125 while Toronto is at +105. The total has been set at 6.5.

The Florida Panthers finished off their 1st round series by earning a 6-3 victory over the Lightning. Florida tallied 8 minutes in the box in this contest. The Panthers had a good offensive output in this win. Moreover, they had 3 chances with the advantage and were able to net 1 goal. In the game, they converted 6 of the 31 shots they put on net.

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When talking about scoring goals, the Florida Panthers have notched 246 goals (15th in hockey) over the course of the season and have given up 223. For the season, they have recorded 98 points and their points percentage sits at .598. Florida has accumulated 238 power play opportunities and they have scored 56 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a percentage of 23.53%. When at even strength, the Panthers have surrendered 176 goals while earning 190 themselves. Florida has taken 2,588 shots and has a shot percentage of 9.5%. The Panthers have seen 2,146 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .896. Florida Panthers opponents have earned 244 power play opportunities (6th in pro hockey) and have racked up 47 goals in those attempts.

The man in net for this game is Sergei Bobrovsky. Opponents have scored 1,868 goals against Bobrovsky in his career and his goals against rate is 2.77. Bobrovsky has participated in 754 matchups over the course of his professional hockey career. His save percentage is at .914 for his 40,458 minutes guarding the cage. He has accumulated a mark of 429-243-57 and he has started in 738 games. Throughout his time in hockey, Bobrovsky has accrued 428 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .580. Bobrovsky has seen 21,794 shot attempts against him and has recorded 19,926 saves.

Toronto won their 1st round series against the Senators by winning by a mark of 4-2 in Game 6. They had 1 power play chance in this game and recorded 1 on that chance. The Maple Leafs earned 4 goals of the 23 shots on goal they attempted.

On the year, the Toronto Maple Leafs have tallied 267 goals, 108 points, in addition to a points percentage of .659. They have granted a total of 229 goals to be scored by way of 177 goals at even strength and 52 goals while they were shorthanded. The Maple Leafs have accumulated 213 goals at even strength and 54 goals (11th in hockey) while on the power play. They have a total of 218 power play chances and they have earned a power play rate of 24.77%. Toronto has attempted 2,297 shots (19th in pro hockey) and has a shot percentage of 11.62%, while allowing the other team 2,405 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 77.87% on the other teams 235 power play chances, and their save percentage comes in at 90.5%.

Across the ice you will find Anthony Stolarz protecting the goal. Stolarz has a lifetime mark of 64-39-12 and has played in 142 games. Stolarz's quality start rate sits at 62.1% and he has made 72 quality starts in his professional career. He has gathered 3,570 stops out of 3,892 shots taken, which gives him a percentage of .917. His opposition is averaging 3.40 goals per game and he has relinquished 322 goals altogether. He has been a starter 116 games and has played for a total of 5,683 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (+105)

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