Montreal Canadiens vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 3/27/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Canadiens (-144) Flyers (+120)

The Philadelphia Flyers (28-35-9) are hosting the Montreal Canadiens (33-27-9) at Wells Fargo Center on Thursday. The line on this matchup has the Canadiens at -144 while the Flyers are at +120. The total is 6.

The Montreal Canadiens had a decent effort after finishing in a 4-4 tie against the Avalanche their last time out. The Canadiens had a solid offensive performance in this game. For the game, they scored on 4 out of the 29 shots they put on net. In addition, they had 4 opportunities with more players on the ice but weren't able to score. Montreal had 13 penalty minutes in this game.

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Montreal Canadiens opponents have amassed 218 power play tries (1st in the NHL) and have racked up 42 goals in those chances. The Canadiens have seen 1,999 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .887. Montreal has taken 1,806 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.5%. While playing at even strength, the Canadiens have surrendered 183 goals while getting 164 on offense. Montreal has 205 power play chances and they have notched 44 goals during those advantages, garnering them a rate of 21.46%. For the year, they have recorded 75 points and their points percentage comes in at .543. In regard to their goal scoring prowess, the Montreal Canadiens have tallied 208 goals (18th in the NHL) on the season and have allowed 225.

The man in goal for this game is Sam Montembeault. Montembeault has been in net for 196 contests throughout his professional hockey career. He has earned an overall record of 74-81-27 and he has gotten the start in 178 games. Opponents have been able to score 592 goals against Montembeault in his professional hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 4.37. Montembeault has seen 5,818 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 5,226 saves. His save percentage sits at .898 during his 8,120 minutes played. In his professional hockey career, Montembeault has recorded 93 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .522.

In their last game, Philadelphia faced the Blackhawks in an outing where the Flyers took the defeat by a mark of 7-4. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this matchup but didn't put one in the back of the net. The Flyers had 4 goals out of the 28 shots on goal they tried.

The Flyers have racked up 169 goals at even strength and 26 goals (29th in the league) while on the power play. Philadelphia has attempted 1,950 shots (19th in professional hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 10.00%, while allowing the opposition 1,915 shots. On the campaign, the Philadelphia Flyers have accumulated 195 goals, 65 points, and a points percentage of .451. They have allowed 244 goals to be scored by of a combination of 204 goals at even strength and 40 goals while they were shorthanded. They have a total of 189 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 13.76%. They have a penalty kill rate of 77.78% on their opponents 180 tries on the power play, and their save percentage is 87.3%.

Across the ice you are going to see Samuel Ersson in goal. He has accounted for 2,235 saves out of 2,512 shots tried, which gives him a percentage of .890. Ersson holds a career record of 48-36-12 and has played in 104 contests. He has been a starter 98 games and has played 3,547 mins. Ersson's quality start rate is 50.0% and he has qualified for 49 quality starts in his pro career. His opposition is averaging 4.69 goals per contest and he has allowed 277 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Montreal (-144)

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