Montreal Canadiens vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, 12/11/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025

Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: Sportsnet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Canadiens (+150) Penguins (-182)

The Pittsburgh Penguins (14-7-6) will try to defeat the Montreal Canadiens (15-10-3) at PPG Paints Arena on Thursday. The line on this matchup has Montreal at +150 while Pittsburgh is priced at -182. The betting total comes in at 6.5.

The Montreal Canadiens had a rough game after their 4-3 loss against the Blues in their previous outing. Montreal accounted for 6 penalty minutes in this matchup. They also had 2 chances on the power play but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. The Canadiens had a middle of the road offensive output in the loss. For the outing, they finished 3 out of the 26 shots they tried.

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Montreal Canadiens opponents have 89 power play opportunities (14th in hockey) and have come away with 20 goals in those chances. The Canadiens thus far have had 763 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .873. Montreal has attempted 708 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 12.7%. When at even strength, the Canadiens have conceded 77 goals while having 70 of their own. Montreal has tallied 78 power play opportunities and they have tallied 20 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 25.64%. For the current campaign, the have a total of 33 points and their points percentage is .589. With respect to their goal scoring prowess, the Montreal Canadiens have earned 90 goals (11th in the league) over the course of the season and have surrendered 97.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Sam Montembeault. Opponents have tallied 663 goals against Montembeault in his pro career and his goals against average per game is 3.30. Montembeault has been in net for 220 matchups throughout his professional hockey career. He has a save percentage of .897 in his 10,950 mins guarding the cage. He has accumulated an overall record of 85-90-29 and he was named the starter in 201 games. Over the course of his time in hockey, Montembeault has 104 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .517. Montembeault has had 6,423 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 5,760 saves.

Their last time out, Pittsburgh squared up with the Stars in a matchup where the Penguins got the tie by a score of 2-2. They had 2 power play chances in this game but weren't able to notch a goal. The Penguins notched 2 goals out of the 29 shots on goal they took.

The Penguins have accumulated 63 goals at even strength and 22 goals (7th in hockey) while on the power play. Pittsburgh has tried 736 shots (27th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 11.55%, while allowing the opposition 771 shots. So far this year, the Pittsburgh Penguins have accounted for 85 goals, 34 points, in addition to a points percentage of .630. They have allowed 73 goals to be scored by way of 61 goals at even strength and 12 goals while they were shorthanded. They have earned 66 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 33.33%. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 85.00% on their opponents 80 power play tries, and their save percentage comes in at 90.5%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Tristan Jarry in net. He has a tally of 7,903 stops out of the 8,690 shots taken against him, which gives him a save percentage of .909. Jarry has earned a lifetime record of 161-99-32 and has been in net for 306 games. He has been a starter 293 contests and has been on the ice for 15,560 mins. Jarry's quality start rate comes out to 59.7% and he has accumulated 175 quality starts in his NHL career. His opponents are averaging 2.69 goals per game and he has yielded 787 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Montreal (+150)

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