Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 12/6/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Canadiens (-196) Maple Leafs (+162)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (12-11-3) are hosting the Montreal Canadiens (14-9-3) at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. The line on this contest has Montreal at -196 and Toronto is opening at +162. The over/under is 6.

The Montreal Canadiens had a decent effort after finishing in a 2-2 tie against the Jets in their previous game. Montreal amassed 7 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Canadiens left a lot to be desired in terms of their offense in this game. Moreover, they had 1 opportunity with more players on the ice and scored 1 goal. In the outing, they converted 2 out of the 31 shots they put on goal.

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Montreal Canadiens opponents have totaled 84 power play opportunities (11th in pro hockey) and have earned 19 goals in those attempts. The Canadiens have had 721 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .872. Montreal has taken 648 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 13.3%. When playing at even strength, the Canadiens let the opposition score 73 goals while getting 67 of their own. Montreal has tallied 72 power play chances and they have notched 19 goals during those advantages, earning them a percentage of 26.39%. For the current campaign, they have accumulated 31 points and their points percentage sits at .596. In reference to scoring goals, the Montreal Canadiens have accumulated 86 goals (7th in pro hockey) so far this year and have surrendered 92.

The player between the pipes for this game is Sam Montembeault. For his career, Montembeault has compiled 104 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .517. He has a save percentage of .897 during his 10,950 mins on the ice. Montembeault has had 6,423 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 5,760 total saves. Opponents have been able to score 663 goals versus Montembeault in his career and his goals against rate is 3.30. He has compiled a record of 85-90-29 and was named the starter in 201 games. Montembeault has been in goal for 220 contests over the course of his hockey career.

In their last outing, Toronto went up against the Panthers in a game where the Maple Leafs took home the victory by a tally of 4-1. They had 3 attempts on the power play in this contest but weren't able to score a goal. The Maple Leafs scored 4 goals out of the 30 shots on goal they attempted.

Over the course of the season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a total of 89 goals, 27 points, in addition to a points percentage of .519. They have allowed 90 goals to be scored by of a combination of 76 goals at even strength and 14 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Maple Leafs have accumulated 79 goals at even strength and 10 goals (32nd in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have a tally of 66 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play rate of 15.15%. Toronto has tried 711 shots (22nd in the league) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 12.52%, while allowing the other team 812 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 81.08% on their oppositions 74 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is currently 88.9%.

On the other side of the ice you are going to see Joseph Woll in the crease. Woll is the owner of a career mark of 51-30-3 and has been in net for 85 contests. Woll's quality start percentage sits at 61.0% and he has earned 50 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has gathered 2,315 stops out of the 2,541 shots attempted against him, giving him a percentage of .911. His opponents are averaging 2.76 goals/game and he has yielded 226 goals altogether. He has been a starter 82 games and has racked up 4,151 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Toronto (+162) and under 6 goals

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