Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals Prediction, 4/30/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals

Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Canadiens (+110) Capitals (-130)

Down 1 - 3 in the series, the Montreal Canadiens (40-31-11) are traveling to Capital One Arena on Wednesday where they will try to beat the Washington Capitals (51-22-9) in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference first round. The odds on this game have the Canadiens at +110 while the Capitals open at -130. The total has been set at 6.

The Montreal Canadiens will look for better times on the ice after their 5-2 loss to the Capitals in Game 4. Montreal earned 12 minutes in the box for this matchup. The Canadiens had a rough night on the offensive side of the ice in this defeat. In addition, they had 4 chances with extra men on the ice and notched 2 goals. For the matchup, they tallied a score on 2 out of the 18 shots they attempted.

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Montreal Canadiens opponents have earned 257 power play opportunities (1st in the NHL) and have notched 49 goals in those chances. The Canadiens have had 2,383 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .890. Montreal has attempted 2,095 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.6%. When playing at even strength, the Canadiens have conceded 212 goals while scoring 196 themselves. Montreal has compiled 234 power play chances and they have notched 47 goals out of those advantages, giving them a percentage of 20.09%. For the season, they have scored 91 points and their points percentage is .555. In the matter of their scoring, the Montreal Canadiens have earned 243 goals (17th in the National Hockey League) this season and have surrendered 261.

The player in the crease for this game is Sam Montembeault. Over the course of his career, Montembeault has 100 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .532. His save percentage sits at .899 in his 8,144 minutes in the crease. Montembeault has had 6,093 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 5,476 saves. The opposition has notched 617 goals against Montembeault in his career and his goals against average per game is 4.55. He has a win-loss mark of 80-84-28 and he started in 188 games. Montembeault has played in 206 games during his pro hockey career.

In Game 4, they had 5 chances on the power play in this contest but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. The Maple Leafs recorded 3 goals of the 34 shots on goal they pursued.

During this campaign, the Washington Capitals have earned 286 goals, 111 points, in addition to a points percentage of .677. They have allowed 229 goals to be scored by way of 186 goals at even strength and 43 goals while they were shorthanded. The Capitals have tallied 234 goals at even strength and 52 goals (13th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have a total of 221 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 23.53%. Washington has attempted 2,265 shots (22nd in the league) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 12.63%, while allowing the opposition 2,229 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 82.01% on their oppositions 239 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage currently sits at 89.7%.

Across the rink you are likely to see Logan Thompson in net. His opponents are averaging 3.67 goals/game and he has relinquished 369 goals altogether. Thompson's quality start rate is 59.9% and he has earned 82 quality starts in his career. He was named a starter in 137 games and his ice time sits at 6,028 mins. Thompson is sitting with a career record of 87-38-17 and has been in goal for 146 contests. He has tallied 3,804 saves out of the 4,173 shots taken against him, giving him a save % of .912.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Montreal (+110)

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