New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 12/6/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

Odds/Point Spread: Islanders (+132) Lightning (-160)

Amalie Arena is the site where the Tampa Bay Lightning (16-8-2) will meet the New York Islanders (14-10-3) on Saturday. The line on this matchup has the Islanders at +132 and the Lightning are sitting at -160. The total has been set at 6.5.

The New York Islanders came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 2-1 victory over the Lightning in the last game they played. New York accounted for 6 mins in the box in this matchup. The Islanders had a below average offensive performance in the victory. Moreover, they had 3 power play opportunities but weren't able to score. In the matchup, they netted 2 of the 23 shots they tried.

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When playing at even strength, the Islanders let the opposition score 61 goals while scoring 65 when they are on offense. New York Islanders opponents have 79 power play opportunities (17th in the league) and have a total of 14 goals in those attempts. With regard to their goal scoring prowess, the New York Islanders have accumulated 77 goals (22nd in the NHL) over the course of the season and have given up 75. New York has tried 790 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.8%. For the year, they have recorded 31 points and their points percentage comes in at .574. The Islanders thus far have had 732 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .898. New York comes into the game with 90 power play chances and they have scored 12 goals out of those attempts, earning them a percentage of 13.33%.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Ilya Sorokin. Sorokin has played in 271 games throughout his hockey career. He has amassed a record of 133-97-38 and was named the starter in 266 games. Opponents have scored 680 goals against Sorokin in his pro career and his goals against average per contest is 2.56. Sorokin has seen 8,045 shots taken against him and has accrued 7,365 saves. His save percentage is .915 in his 13,454 minutes between the pipes. Throughout his time in hockey, Sorokin is sitting with 173 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .650.

In their last contest, Tampa Bay faced off against the Islanders in a matchup where the Lightning went home in defeat by a score of 2-1. The Lightning netted 1 goal out of the 30 shots on goal they tried. They had 3 chances on the power play in this game but weren't able to notch a goal.

So far this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned a total of 85 goals, 34 points, in addition to a points percentage of .654. They have granted a total of 67 goals to be scored by way of 58 goals at even strength and 9 goals while they were shorthanded. The Lightning have 72 goals at even strength and 13 goals (22nd in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have recorded 80 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 16.25%. Tampa Bay has taken 694 shots (23rd in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 12.25%, while allowing the opposition 712 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 89.16% on their oppositions 83 power play chances, and their save percentage sits at 90.6%.

Across the rink you are likely to see Andrei Vasilevskiy in net. The opposition is averaging 2.51 goals/game and he has yielded 1,378 goals altogether. Vasilevskiy's quality start rate sits at 58.3% and he has accumulated 320 quality starts in his pro career. He has started in 549 games and has racked up 28,667 minutes. Vasilevskiy has accrued a career mark of 342-169-37 and has been in goal for 559 games. He has accrued 15,238 saves out of 16,616 shots tried, giving him a percentage of .917.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-160)

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