New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 11/12/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Wednesday, November 12, 2025

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

Odds/Point Spread: Rangers (+220) Lightning (-275)

Amalie Arena is where the Tampa Bay Lightning (8-5-2) will play the New York Rangers (7-7-2) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has New York at +220 while Tampa Bay is at -275. The total is 6.5.

The New York Rangers will look for better times on the ice after their 5-0 loss against the Islanders in their previous game. New York accumulated 4 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Rangers had a below average offensive performance in the loss. Additionally, they had 2 power play attempts but weren't able to make the most of them. In the game, they walked away having not converted any of the 33 shots they put on net.

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New York Rangers opponents have tallied 42 power play tries (28th in the NHL) and have tallied 7 goals in those chances. The Rangers have seen 427 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .906. New York has attempted 458 shots and has a shooting percentage of 7.6%. When playing at even strength, the Rangers have allowed the opponent to score 33 goals while earning 30 on the offensive side of the ice. New York skates onto the rink with 41 power play chances and they have scored 5 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 12.20%. For the current campaign, the have a total of 16 points and their points % is .500. In the matter of their goal scoring prowess, the New York Rangers have earned 35 goals (31st in pro hockey) on the season and have allowed 40.

The man in net for this game is Igor Shesterkin. Over the course of his pro career, Shesterkin has compiled 176 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .626. He has a save percentage of .917 for his 14,552 minutes guarding the cage. Shesterkin has seen 8,429 shots taken against him and he has 7,730 saves. The opposition has been able to score 699 goals against Shesterkin in his professional hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.49. He has compiled a record of 166-94-24 and got the start in 281 games. Shesterkin has taken the ice for 286 contests throughout his NHL career.

In their last contest, Tampa Bay opposed the Capitals in a game where the Lightning ended up with the victory by a mark of 3-2. The Lightning earned 3 goals out of the 19 shots on goal they attempted. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this outing and scored 1 out of those attempts.

Tampa Bay has tried 393 shots (29th in the NHL) and has earned a shooting percentage of 11.70%, while allowing their opponents 435 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 89.58% on their opponents 48 tries on the power play, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.6%. They have recorded 50 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 16.00%. The Lightning have 38 goals at even strength and 8 goals (22nd in the NHL) while having a power play advantage. They have granted a total of 41 goals to be scored by way of 36 goals at even strength and 5 goals while they had less men on the ice. This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 46 goals, 18 points, and a points percentage of .600.

On the other side of the ice you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy protecting the goal. He has racked up 15,046 stops out of 16,410 shots attempted against him, which gives him a rate of .917. Vasilevskiy has accrued a career record of 336-167-37 and has been in net for 551 games. He was named a starter in 541 games and has played for a total of 28,647 mins. Vasilevskiy's quality start percentage is 57.9% and he has made 313 quality starting assignments in his professional career. His opposition is averaging 2.52 goals per game and he has allowed 1,364 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take New York (+220)

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