Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins Prediction, 12/21/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins

Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+125) Bruins (-150)

The Boston Bruins (20-15-0) are welcoming the Ottawa Senators (16-13-4) at TD Garden on Sunday. The line on this matchup has the Senators at +125 and the Bruins are coming in at -150. The over/under has been set at 6.

The Ottawa Senators had a good night with a 4-0 victory over the Penguins in their previous game. Ottawa amassed 4 penalty minutes in this outing. In addition, they had 3 opportunities with more players on the ice and were able to notch 1 goal. The Senators had a good offensive output in the win. In the game, they were able to notch a goal on 4 of the 26 shots they put on net.

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Ottawa Senators opponents have totaled 90 power play tries (28th in the NHL) and have a total of 26 goals in those attempts. The Senators thus far have had 843 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .877. Ottawa has attempted 909 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 11.2%. While at even strength, the Senators have allowed the opponent to score 78 goals while notching 75 themselves. Ottawa steps onto the ice with 105 power play chances and they have scored 27 goals out of those tries, garnering them a rate of 25.71%. For the current season, they have recorded 36 points and their points percentage comes in at .545. Regarding their scoring, the Ottawa Senators have accounted for 102 goals (17th in the NHL) this season and have given up 104.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Leevi Merilainen. In his career, Merilainen has accrued 11 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .524. His save percentage is .903 in his 762 mins in the crease. Merilainen has had 555 shot attempts taken against him and has garnered 501 saves. The opposition has racked up 54 goals versus Merilainen in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 2.57. He has an overall record of 11-9-2 and got the start in 21 games. Merilainen has participated in 22 games throughout his NHL career.

In their last outing, Boston squared up with the Oilers in a matchup where the Bruins took the loss by a mark of 3-1. They had 3 power play chances in this one and recorded 1 out of those opportunities. The Bruins earned 1 goal of the 25 shots on goal they were seeking.

Boston has attempted 942 shots (18th in hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 11.89%, while allowing the opposition 1,059 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 80.62% on the other teams 129 chances on the power play, and their save percentage is currently 89.7%. They have earned 101 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play rate of 25.74%. The Bruins have earned 86 goals at even strength and 26 goals (7th in pro hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have permitted 109 goals to be scored by way of 84 goals at even strength and 25 goals while they were shorthanded. On the season, the Boston Bruins have accounted for 112 goals, 40 points, as well as a points percentage of .571.

Across the ice you will find Joonas Korpisalo in the crease. Teams are averaging 3.13 goals/game and he has yielded 894 goals in total. Korpisalo's quality start percentage sits at 48.3% and he has earned 138 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has been a starter 286 games and has played 16,090 minutes. Korpisalo is the owner of a career record of 132-123-32 and has participated in 316 contests. He has racked up 8,048 stops out of 8,942 shots attempted against him, giving him a percentage of .900.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Ottawa (+125)

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