Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, 3/4/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Tuesday, March 4, 2025

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude Sports

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (+220) Avalanche (-275)

The Colorado Avalanche (35-24-2) welcome the Pittsburgh Penguins (24-29-10) at Ball Arena on Tuesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Penguins at +220 and the Avalanche are sitting at -275. The betting total is set at 6.5.

The Pittsburgh Penguins had a rough game after their 6-5 loss to the Maple Leafs in their last outing. Pittsburgh had 2 minutes in the box for this contest. They also had 2 power play tries and scored 1 goal. The Penguins had a impressive offensive outing in this defeat. In the outing, they were able to notch a goal on 5 of the 34 shots they attempted.

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When playing at even strength, the Penguins have surrendered 193 goals while earning 139 of their own. Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have earned 165 power play opportunities (18th in professional hockey) and have come away with 35 goals in those chances. In the matter of their scoring, the Pittsburgh Penguins have earned 182 goals (15th in the National Hockey League) so far this season and have allowed 228. Pittsburgh has tried 1,817 shots and has a shot percentage of 10.0%. For the season, they have recorded 58 points and their points percentage sits at .460. The Penguins have seen 1,906 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .880. Pittsburgh comes into tonight with 178 power play chances and they have added 43 goals during those advantages, giving them a rate of 24.16%.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Alex Nedeljkovic. Over the course of his pro career, Nedeljkovic has earned 81 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .523. His save percentage currently is at .903 in his 7,896 minutes between the pipes. Nedeljkovic has had 4,958 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 4,478 saves. The opposition has been able to score 480 goals versus Nedeljkovic in his professional career and his goals against average is 3.65. He has amassed an overall record of 72-57-27 and he has gotten the start in 155 games. Nedeljkovic has been in goal for 172 games throughout his hockey career.

Their last time out, Colorado faced the Wild in a matchup where the Avalanche took home the victory by a tally of 5-2. They had 3 power play chances in this game and scored 2 out of those chances. The Avalanche netted 5 goals out of the 30 shots on goal they pursued.

The Avalanche have scored 157 goals at even strength and 40 goals (11th in professional hockey) while on the power play. Colorado has tried 1,805 shots (6th in professional hockey) and has a shot percentage of 10.91%, while allowing the opposition 1,599 shots. So far this season, the Colorado Avalanche have earned a total of 197 goals, 72 points, as well as a points percentage of .590. They have granted a total of 181 goals to be scored by way of 150 goals at even strength and 31 goals while they were shorthanded. They have a tally of 178 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 22.47%. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 79.87% on their opponents 154 chances on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 88.7%.

Across the ice you are likely to see Mackenzie Blackwood in net. Blackwood holds a career mark of 97-98-27 and has been in net for 240 games. Blackwood's quality start rate is 54.7% and he has made 123 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has racked up 6,442 stops out of 7,110 shots attempted against him, giving him a save percentage of .906. His opposition is averaging 3.61 goals per contest and he has conceded 668 goals overall. He got the starting nod in 225 games and has played for a total of 11,104 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Colorado (-275)

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