St. Louis Blues vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 12/22/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Blues vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Monday, December 22, 2025

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

Odds/Point Spread: Blues (+162) Lightning (-196)

Amalie Arena is the location where the Tampa Bay Lightning (18-13-3) will take on the St. Louis Blues (13-15-8) on Monday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Blues at +162 while the Lightning are sitting at -196. The over/under has been set at 6.

The St. Louis Blues will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 2-1 loss against the Rangers in their last outing. The Blues had an offensive game that was below their expectations in the loss. For the matchup, they were able to notch a goal on 1 out of the 27 shots they tried. Furthermore, they had 3 opportunities with more players on the ice but weren't able to score. St. Louis tallied 6 minutes in the box in this game.

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When at even strength, the Blues have surrendered 103 goals while earning 71 themselves. St. Louis Blues opponents have 89 power play opportunities (30th in pro hockey) and have scored 20 goals in those chances. In terms of scoring goals, the St. Louis Blues have accumulated 88 goals (30th in hockey) this year and have given up 123. St. Louis has tried 912 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 9.7%. For the season, the have a total of 34 points and their points percentage sits at .472. The Blues so far have had 1,005 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .878. St. Louis comes into the game with 95 power play chances and they have added 17 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a rate of 17.89%.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Jordan Binnington. The opposition has racked up 968 goals against Binnington in his career and his average for goals against per game is 2.79. Binnington has taken the ice for 358 games over the course of his pro hockey career. His save percentage is at .905 in his 17,857 minutes on the ice. He has an overall mark of 180-124-42 and was named the starter in 347 games. Over the course of his time in hockey, Binnington has recorded 183 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .527. Binnington has seen 10,173 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 9,205 saves.

In their last game, Tampa Bay opposed the Kings in a matchup where the Lightning took the loss by a tally of 2-1. They had 5 power play opportunities in this one and recorded 1 out of those opportunities. The Lightning earned 1 goal of the 32 shots on goal they took.

The Lightning have 88 goals at even strength and 19 goals (17th in the NHL) while on the power play. Tampa Bay has taken 951 shots (16th in hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.25%, while allowing their opponents 912 shots. On the year, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 107 goals, 39 points, in addition to a points percentage of .574. They have permitted 89 goals to be scored by of a combination of 73 goals at even strength and 16 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have recorded 109 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 17.43%. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 85.19% on their opponents 108 power play tries, and their save percentage sits at 90.2%.

Across the rink you are likely to see Andrei Vasilevskiy in goal. Vasilevskiy has accrued a career record of 342-170-37 and has been in net for 560 contests. Vasilevskiy's quality start percentage sits at 58.4% and he has made 321 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has compiled 15,256 saves out of the 16,636 shots attempted, giving him a percentage of .917. The opposition is averaging 2.51 goals/game and he has conceded 1,380 goals altogether. He has started in 550 games and his ice time sits at 28,669 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take St. Louis (+162)

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