Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, 11/4/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Tuesday, November 4, 2025

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude Sports

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (+150) Avalanche (-182)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (6-4-2) are hitting the road to Ball Arena on Tuesday where they will try to beat the Colorado Avalanche (7-1-5). The moneyline on this contest has Tampa Bay at +150 while Colorado is at -182. The total is 6.5.

The Tampa Bay Lightning came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 4-2 win against the Mammoth in their last outing. The Lightning had a solid offensive outing and it was apparent in the victory. While out there on the ice, they converted 4 out of the 26 shots they tried. Furthermore, they had 2 chances with the advantage but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. Tampa Bay recorded 8 minutes in the box for this game.

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In the matter of their goal scoring prowess, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 35 goals (22nd in the league) so far this year and have allowed 33. For the current season, they have recorded 14 points and their points percentage comes in at .583. Tampa Bay has accounted for 41 power play opportunities and they have notched 6 goals out of those attempts, giving them a percentage of 14.63%. When playing at even strength, the Lightning have allowed 29 goals while scoring 29 of their own. Tampa Bay has taken 323 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.8%. The Lightning thus far have had 340 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .903. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have totaled 40 power play tries (14th in pro hockey) and have earned 4 goals in those attempts.

The man protecting the net in this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Opponents have racked up 1,356 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his NHL career and his goals against average is 2.52. Vasilevskiy has played in 548 games during his NHL career. His save percentage is at .917 in his 28,640 minutes between the pipes. He has amassed an overall mark of 334-166-37 and he has gotten the start in 538 games. For his professional hockey career, Vasilevskiy has earned 310 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .576. Vasilevskiy has seen 16,315 shots taken against him and has recorded 14,959 saves.

In their last game, Colorado played the Sharks in an outing where the Avalanche ended up losing by a final score of 3-2. They had 2 attempts on the power play in this outing but didn't put one in the back of the net. The Avalanche scored 2 goals out of the 38 shots on goal they attempted.

During this campaign, the Colorado Avalanche are sitting with 47 goals, 19 points, and a points percentage of .731. They have granted a total of 33 goals to be scored by way of 29 goals at even strength and 4 goals while they were shorthanded. The Avalanche have earned 39 goals at even strength and 8 goals (14th in the league) while on the power play. They have earned 49 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 16.33%. Colorado has taken 444 shots (1st in professional hockey) and has a shot percentage of 10.59%, while allowing their opponents 328 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 89.74% on their opponents 39 tries on the power play, and their save percentage currently sits at 89.9%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Mackenzie Blackwood defending the net. Blackwood has amassed a lifetime mark of 103-103-28 and has participated in 252 games. Blackwood's quality start rate is 55.7% and he has earned 132 quality starts in his career. He has a tally of 6,727 stops out of 7,428 shots taken against him, giving him a save percentage of .906. Opponents are averaging 2.96 goals/game and he has surrendered 701 goals in total. He got the starting nod in 237 games and has played 13,356 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+150)

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