Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, 10/17/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings
Date: Friday, October 17, 2025
Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI
TV: Fanduel Sports Network
Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (+106) Red Wings (-128)
Little Caesars Arena is where the Detroit Red Wings (3-1-0) will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Lightning (1-2-1) on Friday. The odds on this game have Tampa Bay at +106 and Detroit is sitting at -128. The betting total comes in at 6.5.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 3-2 defeat to the Capitals in their previous game. Tampa Bay earned 10 penalty minutes in this game. The Lightning left a lot to be desired in terms of their offense in this defeat. Additionally, they had 2 attempts on the power play and scored 1 goal. For the outing, they netted 2 of the 19 shots they attempted.
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Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have earned 16 power play opportunities (6th in hockey) and have a total of 2 goals in those chances. The Lightning so far have had 126 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .873. Tampa Bay has tried 84 shots and holds a shot percentage of 15.5%. When playing at even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 14 goals while earning 10 as an offensive unit. Tampa Bay has accumulated 10 power play chances and they have notched 3 goals out of those attempts, earning them a percentage of 30.00%. For the current campaign, they have scored 3 points and their points percentage is sitting at .375. Concerning their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accounted for 13 goals (12th in the National Hockey League) this season and have allowed 16.
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The player protecting the goal in this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has taken the ice for 543 matchups throughout his NHL career. He has compiled a mark of 331-165-36 and he was named the starter in 533 games. The opposition has scored 1,347 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his NHL career and his goals against rate is 2.53. Vasilevskiy has had 16,199 shots against him and has accrued 14,852 total saves. His save percentage is .917 during his 28,627 minutes guarding the cage. For his career, Vasilevskiy has earned 306 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .574.
Their last time out, Detroit faced the Panthers in a matchup where the Red Wings got the win by a mark of 4-1. They had 3 power play attempts in this outing and recorded 1 out of those attempts. The Red Wings earned 4 goals out of the 25 shots on goal they were seeking.
On the year, the Detroit Red Wings have accounted for 14 goals, 6 points, as well as a points percentage of .750. They have granted a total of 11 goals to be scored by of a combination of 10 goals at even strength and 1 goal while they were shorthanded. The Red Wings are sitting with 10 goals at even strength and 4 goals (4th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have a total of 15 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 26.67%. Detroit has taken 106 shots (19th in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 13.21%, while allowing the opposition 101 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 88.89% on their opponents 9 power play tries, and their save percentage comes in at 89.1%.
For the opposition you are going to see John Gibson in the crease. Gibson has a career mark of 204-218-63 and has played in 507 games. Gibson's percentage of quality starts comes out to 54.1% and he has earned 268 quality starts in his NHL career. He has racked up 14,041 stops out of 15,433 shots attempted, giving him a rate of .910. Teams are averaging 2.81 goals per contest and he has allowed 1,392 goals altogether. He has started in 495 games and his ice time sits at 26,820 minutes.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy's Pick: Take Detroit (-128)
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Additional Resources:
Detroit Red Wings - Twitter
Tampa Bay Lightning - Twitter