Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Prediction, 11/15/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers

Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025

Location: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, FL

TV: Scripps Sports Local

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-144) Panthers (+120)

The Florida Panthers (8-7-1) will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Lightning (8-6-2) at Amerant Bank Arena on Saturday. The odds on this game have Tampa Bay at -144 and Florida is at +120. The betting total comes in at 6.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will need a bounce back game after taking a 7-3 loss to the Rangers in their previous contest . Tampa Bay accounted for 8 minutes in the box in this contest. The Lightning had a middle of the road offensive outing in this defeat. They also had 3 power play opportunities but weren't able to make the most of them. In the matchup, they were able to notch a goal on 3 out of the 36 shots they put on net.

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Regarding their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched 49 goals (20th in the league) this season and have conceded 48. For the current campaign, they have 18 points and their points % is .563. Tampa Bay comes into the game with 53 power play chances and they have added 8 goals during those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 15.09%. While at even strength, the Lightning have surrendered 42 goals while getting 41 on offense. Tampa Bay has taken 430 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 11.4%. The Lightning so far have had 456 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .895. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have earned 51 power play opportunities (19th in professional hockey) and have come away with 6 goals in those chances.

The player in the crease for this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has been in goal for 552 games throughout his professional hockey career. He has amassed an overall mark of 336-168-37 and he has started in 542 games. The opposition has scored 1,369 goals against Vasilevskiy in his NHL career and his goals against average per game is 2.53. Vasilevskiy has seen 16,423 shots taken against him and has amassed 15,054 saves. He has a save percentage of .917 for his 28,649 mins in the crease. For his professional hockey career, Vasilevskiy has tallied 313 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .577.

Their last time out, Florida faced off against the Golden Knights in a game where the Panthers took home the victory by a score of 3-2. The Panthers tallied 3 goals of the 20 shots on goal they attempted. They had 3 power play chances in this game and netted 1 out of those tries.

The Panthers have accumulated 31 goals at even strength and 11 goals (16th in professional hockey) while on the power play. Florida has tried 450 shots (22nd in the NHL) and has a shot percentage of 9.33%, while allowing their opponents 395 shots. This season, the Florida Panthers have earned a total of 42 goals, 17 points, in addition to a points percentage of .531. They have granted a total of 47 goals to be scored by of a combination of 34 goals at even strength and 13 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have a total of 60 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play rate of 18.33%. They have a penalty kill percentage of 77.19% on their opponents 57 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage is 88.1%.

For the opposition you are going to see Sergei Bobrovsky defending the net. He has recorded 20,192 stops out of 22,092 shots tried, giving him a save percentage of .914. Bobrovsky is the owner of a career record of 437-247-57 and has played in 766 games. He has made the start in 752 contests and has accumulated 39,992 mins. Bobrovsky's rate of quality starts sits at 58.1% and he has 437 quality starts in his hockey career. Teams are averaging 2.53 goals/game and he has relinquished 1,900 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-144)

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