Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Prediction, 12/27/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers
Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
Location: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, FL
TV: Scripps Sports Local
Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-144) Panthers (+120)
The Tampa Bay Lightning (20-13-3) are traveling to Amerant Bank Arena on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Florida Panthers (20-14-2). The odds on this game have Tampa Bay at -144 and Florida is sitting at +120. The over/under comes in at 6.

The Tampa Bay Lightning had a good night with a 4-1 victory against the Blues in their previous contest . Tampa Bay tallied 4 penalty minutes in this game. They also had 4 power play tries and were able to net 2 goals. The Lightning had a solid offensive performance in the victory. For the matchup, they scored on 4 out of the 17 shots they put on net.
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Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have recorded 115 power play tries (12th in hockey) and have racked up 18 goals in those attempts. The Lightning thus far have had 958 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .902. Tampa Bay has attempted 997 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 11.7%. When at even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 76 goals while getting 96 on offense. Tampa Bay has accumulated 116 power play opportunities and they have added 21 goals out of those tries, garnering them a rate of 18.10%. For the season, they have recorded 43 points and their points percentage is sitting at .597. When discussing scoring goals, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched 117 goals (9th in the NHL) so far this year and have given up 94.
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The man protecting the goal in this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has taken the ice for 562 games during his professional hockey career. He has compiled an overall mark of 344-170-37 and he started in 552 games. Opponents have been able to score 1,385 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 2.51. Vasilevskiy has had 16,682 shot attempts against him and has recorded 15,297 saves. He has a save percentage of .917 for his 28,674 minutes on the ice. Over the course of his pro career, Vasilevskiy has compiled 322 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .583.
In their last outing, Florida squared up with the Hurricanes in an outing where the Panthers ended up with the win by a score of 5-2. They had 4 power play opportunities in this outing and recorded 1 out of those tries. The Panthers scored 5 goals out of the 22 shots on goal they took.
For the year, the Florida Panthers have earned a total of 115 goals, 42 points, as well as a points percentage of .583. They have permitted 113 goals to be scored by of a combination of 92 goals at even strength and 21 goals while they were shorthanded. The Panthers have 91 goals at even strength and 24 goals (10th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have recorded 126 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play rate of 19.05%. Florida has taken 1,054 shots (13th in hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 10.91%, while allowing their opponents 960 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 82.20% on their oppositions 118 chances on the power play, and their save percentage is 88.2%.
On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Sergei Bobrovsky patrolling the crease. He is sitting with 20,468 saves out of the 22,404 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .914. Bobrovsky is the owner of a career mark of 445-251-58 and has played in 779 games. He has been a starter 765 games and has played 40,023 minutes. Bobrovsky's percentage of quality starts comes out to 58.2% and he has qualified for 445 quality starts in his pro hockey career. His opponents are averaging 2.53 goals per game and he has surrendered 1,936 goals altogether.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy's Pick: Take Florida (+120)
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Additional Resources:
Florida Panthers - Twitter
Tampa Bay Lightning - Twitter

