Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils Prediction, 12/11/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils

Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025

Location: Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

TV: MSG+

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-196) Devils (+162)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (16-11-2) are traveling to Prudential Center on Thursday where they will take on the New Jersey Devils (16-12-1). The moneyline on this game has Tampa Bay at -196 while New Jersey is at +162. The over/under has been set at 6.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will need a bounce back game after taking a 2-0 defeat to the Islanders in their previous contest . The Lightning didn't have their best offensive outing in the loss. For the game, they walked away having not converted any of the 32 shots they looked to score on. Additionally, they had 2 power play opportunities but didn't net one. Tampa Bay recorded 6 mins in the box in this outing.

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Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have 92 power play tries (10th in pro hockey) and have come away with 12 goals in those chances. The Lightning have seen 787 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .905. Tampa Bay has attempted 795 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.1%. When playing at even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 63 goals while earning 74 themselves. Tampa Bay has 89 power play chances and they have tallied 14 goals out of those advantages, giving them a percentage of 15.73%. For the year, they have 34 points and their points % is .586. In regard to scoring goals, the Tampa Bay Lightning have tallied 88 goals (12th in the National Hockey League) on the year and have conceded 75.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Jonas Johansson. Over the course of his time in hockey, Johansson has accrued 37 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .463. His save percentage is at .891 during his 4,265 mins guarding the cage. Johansson has seen 2,447 shots against him and has recorded 2,180 saves. Opponents have been able to score 267 goals against Johansson in his NHL career and his goals against average is 3.34. He has earned a win-loss record of 37-31-12 and he started in 80 games. Johansson has participated in 91 contests throughout his pro hockey career.

The last time they were on the ice, New Jersey played the Bruins in a matchup where the Devils went home in defeat by a score of 4-1. The Devils recorded 1 goal of the 30 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 1 power play opportunity in this contest but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal.

On the campaign, the New Jersey Devils have earned a total of 82 goals, 33 points, in addition to a points percentage of .569. They have allowed 89 goals to be scored by way of 74 goals at even strength and 15 goals while they were shorthanded. The Devils have tallied 65 goals at even strength and 17 goals (15th in pro hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have earned 73 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 23.29%. New Jersey has taken 851 shots (10th in the NHL) and has earned a shot percentage of 9.64%, while allowing their opponents 815 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 81.01% on their oppositions 79 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 89.1%.

Across the rink you are going to see Jacob Markstrom defending the net. The opposition is averaging 2.70 goals/game and he has given up 1,433 goals overall. Markstrom's quality start percentage is 52.5% and he has accumulated 278 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He got the starting nod in 530 games and has been on the ice for 28,335 mins. Markstrom has compiled a lifetime record of 248-218-64 and has played in 548 games. He has racked up 14,050 saves out of the 15,483 shots taken against him, which gives him a rate of .907.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take New Jersey (+162)

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