Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction, 12/13/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders

Date: Saturday, December 13, 2025

Location: UBS Arena in Elmont, NY

TV: MSG Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-144) Islanders (+120)

UBS Arena is where the New York Islanders (17-11-3) will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Lightning (17-11-2) on Saturday. The line on this matchup has Tampa Bay at -144 and New York is sitting at +120. The total comes in at 6.

The Tampa Bay Lightning were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 6-1 victory against the Canadiens in their previous outing. Tampa Bay tallied 17 penalty minutes in this game. The Lightning had a solid offensive performance and it showed in the victory. In addition, they had 3 attempts on the power play and were able to notch 1 goal. For the outing, they finished 6 of the 27 shots they tried.

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Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have totaled 96 power play tries (9th in pro hockey) and have come away with 13 goals in those attempts. The Lightning so far have had 814 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .907. Tampa Bay has tried 822 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 11.4%. When playing at even strength, the Lightning have conceded 63 goals while scoring 79 themselves. Tampa Bay steps onto the ice with 92 power play opportunities and they have notched 15 goals out of those tries, earning them a percentage of 16.30%. For the season, they have 36 points and their points percentage is sitting at .600. When discussing their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched 94 goals (11th in pro hockey) over the course of the season and have allowed 76.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Jonas Johansson. The opposition has scored 268 goals against Johansson in his career and his goals against average per game is 3.31. Johansson has been involved in 92 contests during his hockey career. His save percentage is at .892 for his 4,268 minutes played. He has compiled a mark of 38-31-12 and was named the starter in 81 games. Throughout his time in hockey, Johansson has recorded 38 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .469. Johansson has seen 2,474 shot attempts taken against him and has garnered 2,206 total saves.

In their last outing, New York went up against the Golden Knights in a game where the Islanders got the tie by a final score of 4-4. They had 2 power play opportunities in this one and tallied 1 out of those attempts. The Islanders scored 4 goals of the 27 shots on goal they attempted.

The Islanders are sitting with 75 goals at even strength and 15 goals (21st in professional hockey) while on the power play. New York has taken 899 shots (8th in professional hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 10.01%, while allowing their opponents 869 shots. For the year, the New York Islanders have notched a total of 90 goals, 37 points, and a points percentage of .597. They have allowed 86 goals to be scored by of a combination of 72 goals at even strength and 14 goals while they were shorthanded. They have a tally of 100 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 15.00%. They have a penalty kill rate of 84.27% on their opponents 89 tries on the power play, and their save percentage currently comes in at 90.1%.

Across the ice you will find Ilya Sorokin defending the goal. Sorokin has accrued a career mark of 136-97-38 and has been in goal for 274 games. Sorokin's rate of quality starts is 64.7% and he has made 174 quality starting assignments in his hockey career. He has accrued 7,465 stops out of the 8,152 shots tried, giving him a save percentage of .916. His opponents are averaging 2.55 goals per game and he has relinquished 687 goals altogether. He has started in 269 games and has been on the ice for 13,461 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take New York (+120) and under 6 goals

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