Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers Prediction, 11/29/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers

Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York, NY

TV: MSG Network

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-196) Rangers (+162)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (14-7-2) are en route to Madison Square Garden on Saturday where they will try to defeat the New York Rangers (12-11-2). The odds on this game have the Lightning at -196 while the Rangers are opening at +162. The betting total comes in at 6.

The Tampa Bay Lightning were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 5-1 victory against the Flames in their previous contest . Tampa Bay tallied 10 minutes in the box in this game. Moreover, they had 4 attempts on the power play but weren't able to score. The Lightning had a solid offensive performance and it showed in the win. In the game, they earned a goal on 5 out of the 23 shots they tried.

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With regard to their goal scoring prowess, the Tampa Bay Lightning have racked up 74 goals (10th in the National Hockey League) for the season and have allowed 61. For the year, they have accumulated 30 points and their points % is .652. Tampa Bay comes into tonight with 74 power play opportunities and they have notched 12 goals out of those advantages, giving them a rate of 16.22%. While at even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 52 goals while notching 62 themselves. Tampa Bay has taken 601 shots and has a shooting percentage of 12.3%. The Lightning have had 639 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .905. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have totaled 77 power play tries (8th in pro hockey) and have a total of 9 goals in those attempts.

The man protecting the net in this game is Jonas Johansson. Johansson has played in 87 matchups throughout his NHL career. He has compiled a win-loss mark of 36-28-12 and he has gotten the start in 76 games. The opposition has notched 260 goals against Johansson in his pro career and his goals against rate is 3.42. Johansson has seen 2,361 shot attempts against him and has accrued 2,101 total saves. He has a save percentage of .890 for his 4,256 mins between the pipes. During his career on the ice, Johansson has compiled 34 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .447.

In their last game, New York went up against the Hurricanes in a game where the Rangers earned a victory by a mark of 4-2. They had 1 power play opportunity in this one but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. The Rangers scored 4 goals of the 18 shots on goal they attempted.

New York has taken 649 shots (17th in pro hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 9.86%, while allowing their opponents 716 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 79.73% on the other teams 74 power play tries, and their save percentage currently comes in at 90.9%. They have earned 56 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 19.64%. The Rangers have tallied 53 goals at even strength and 11 goals (25th in professional hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have granted a total of 65 goals to be scored by way of 50 goals at even strength and 15 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the year, the New York Rangers have accumulated 64 goals, 26 points, as well as a points percentage of .520.

For the opposition you are expected to see Igor Shesterkin patrolling the crease. He has accrued 7,923 stops out of 8,640 shots attempted, giving him a rate of .917. Shesterkin is the owner of a lifetime mark of 171-96-24 and has played in 293 games. He has made the start in 288 games and has played 14,570 minutes. Shesterkin's percentage of quality starts comes out to 62.8% and he has made 181 quality starts in his NHL career. His opposition is averaging 2.49 goals per contest and he has allowed 717 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-196)

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