Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, 11/6/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights
Date: Thursday, November 6, 2025
Location: T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, NV
TV: Vegas 34
Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (+106) Golden Knights (-128)
The Vegas Golden Knights (7-2-3) welcome the Tampa Bay Lightning (6-5-2) at T-Mobile Arena on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has the Lightning at +106 and the Golden Knights are coming in at -128. The over/under is 6.5.
The Tampa Bay Lightning will look for better times on the ice after their 3-2 defeat to the Avalanche their last time out. Tampa Bay accounted for 13 penalty minutes in this contest. The Lightning had a rough night on the offensive side of the ice in this loss. In addition, they had 3 power play opportunities but weren't able to score. For the game, they scored on 2 out of the 24 shots they attempted.
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When playing at even strength, the Lightning have allowed 31 goals while notching 31 on offense. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have tallied 44 power play opportunities (12th in the league) and have a total of 5 goals in those chances. In the matter of their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 37 goals (23rd in the National Hockey League) on the year and have allowed 36. Tampa Bay has attempted 347 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.7%. For the current campaign, they have 14 points and their points percentage is .538. The Lightning have had 373 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .903. Tampa Bay comes into tonight with 44 power play opportunities and they have tallied 6 goals during those chances, giving them a rate of 13.64%.
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The player protecting the goal in this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has been in net for 549 matchups throughout his NHL career. He has earned a record of 334-167-37 and he has gotten the start in 539 games. The opposition has racked up 1,359 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his NHL career and his goals against average is 2.52. Vasilevskiy has seen 16,348 shots against him and has garnered 14,989 saves. His save percentage currently is .917 for his 28,642 mins played. Over the course of his career, Vasilevskiy has 311 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .577.
In their last game, Vegas went up against the Red Wings in an outing where the Golden Knights got the victory by a final of 1-0. They had 1 power play chance in this outing but didn't put one in the back of the net. The Golden Knights recorded 1 goal out of the 34 shots on goal they took.
Vegas has attempted 342 shots (26th in the league) and has a shot percentage of 11.70%, while allowing their opponents 306 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 81.25% on the other teams 32 power play chances, and their save percentage is 89.9%. They have a total of 44 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 25.00%. The Golden Knights have earned 29 goals at even strength and 11 goals (7th in the NHL) while on the power play. They have permitted 31 goals to be scored by of a combination of 25 goals at even strength and 6 goals while they were shorthanded. On the season, the Vegas Golden Knights have earned a total of 40 goals, 17 points, in addition to a points percentage of .708.
On the other side of the ice you are expected to see Akira Schmid in goal. His opponents are averaging 2.90 goals per game and he has surrendered 119 goals in total. Schmid's quality start rate sits at 43.9% and he has earned 18 quality starts in his hockey career. He got the starting nod in 41 contests and his ice time sits at 2,560 minutes. Schmid has accumulated a career mark of 22-19-4 and has participated in 55 games. He has accounted for 1,113 stops out of 1,232 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save % of .903.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy's Pick: Take Vegas (-128)
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Additional Resources:
Vegas Golden Knights - Twitter
Tampa Bay Lightning - Twitter