Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction, 10/14/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals

Date: Tuesday, October 14, 2025

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (+125) Capitals (-150)

The Washington Capitals (2-1-0) will try to beat the Tampa Bay Lightning (0-2-0) at Capital One Arena on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has Tampa Bay at +125 while Washington is sitting at -150. The over/under has been set at 6.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will look for better times on the ice after their 5-3 defeat against the Devils in their previous outing. The Lightning had an average offensive outing in this defeat. For the game, they converted 3 of the 17 shots they attempted. They also had 3 power play opportunities but didn't convert them into a score. Tampa Bay garnered 8 mins in the box for this matchup.

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At even strength, the Lightning have surrendered 9 goals while notching 5 themselves. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have totaled 8 power play opportunities (19th in professional hockey) and have notched 1 goal in those attempts. Concerning their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accounted for 7 goals (21st in hockey) for the season and have conceded 10. Tampa Bay has taken 42 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 16.7%. For the year, they have racked up 0 points and their points percentage is .000. The Lightning have seen 63 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .841. Tampa Bay skates onto the rink with 6 power play chances and they have scored 2 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a rate of 33.33%.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Andrei Vasilevskiy. Over the course of his career, Vasilevskiy is sitting with 306 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .575. His save percentage currently is at .917 for his 31,796 mins guarding the cage. Vasilevskiy has seen 16,169 shot attempts against him and has accrued 14,825 total saves. The opposition has been able to score 1,344 goals against Vasilevskiy in his career and his average for goals against per game is 2.54. He has an overall mark of 331-165-35 and he started in 532 games. Vasilevskiy has played in 542 games over the course of his pro hockey career.

When they took the ice last, Washington went up against the Rangers in an outing where the Capitals ended up with the win by a final score of 1-0. The Capitals tallied 1 goal of the 21 shots on goal they attempted. They had 1 power play opportunity in this contest but weren't able to put one in the back of the net.

On the campaign, the Washington Capitals have earned a total of 6 goals, 4 points, and a points percentage of .667. They have allowed 5 goals to be scored by way of 2 goals at even strength and 3 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Capitals have earned 6 goals at even strength and 0 goals (28th in the league) while on the power play. They have a total of 8 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play rate of 0.00%. Washington has put up 86 shots (6th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 6.98%, while allowing the opposition 93 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 57.14% on their opponents 7 power play tries, and their save percentage is currently 94.6%.

For the opposition you are expected to see Logan Thompson in net. His opponents are averaging 1598.57 goals per game and he has surrendered 373 goals altogether. Thompson's percentage of quality starts comes out to 60.4% and he has qualified for 84 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has started in 139 contests and has been on the ice for 14 minutes. Thompson has earned a career record of 88-39-17 and has played in 148 games. He has gathered 3,857 stops out of 4,230 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save percentage of .912.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Washington (-150) and under 6 goals

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