Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction, 11/22/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals

Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.

TV: Monumental Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-160) Capitals (+132)

Capital One Arena is the site where the Washington Capitals (10-8-2) will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Lightning (10-7-2) on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has Tampa Bay at -160 and Washington is coming in at +132. The total comes in at 6.5.

The Tampa Bay Lightning came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 5-1 win over the Devils their last time out. Tampa Bay accrued 10 minutes in the box in this outing. In addition, they had 3 chances with the advantage and notched 2 goals. The Lightning had a solid offensive performance and it showed in this victory. In the game, they converted 5 out of the 29 shots they tried.

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While at even strength, the Lightning have given up 47 goals while getting 49 themselves. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have totaled 63 power play opportunities (14th in the league) and have racked up 9 goals in those attempts. In terms of their goal scoring prowess, the Tampa Bay Lightning have tallied 59 goals (20th in the National Hockey League) so far this season and have surrendered 56. Tampa Bay has tried 509 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.6%. For the current campaign, they have racked up 22 points and their points percentage is .579. The Lightning have had 529 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .894. Tampa Bay comes into tonight with 62 power play opportunities and they have scored 10 goals during those advantages, giving them a percentage of 16.13%.

The player between the pipes for this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Opponents have been able to score 1,371 goals against Vasilevskiy in his pro career and his goals against average per game is 2.52. Vasilevskiy has been involved in 554 matchups throughout his pro hockey career. His save percentage is at .917 during his 28,654 mins played. He has compiled a record of 338-168-37 and he started in 544 games. In his professional hockey career, Vasilevskiy has 315 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .579. Vasilevskiy has seen 16,478 shots against him and has recorded 15,107 total saves.

Their last time out, Washington played the Oilers in a game where the Capitals notched a win by a mark of 7-4. The Capitals earned 7 goals of the 21 shots on goal they pursued. They had 1 power play chance in this game but weren't able to put one in the back of the net.

The Capitals have earned 52 goals at even strength and 8 goals (29th in the league) while on the power play. Washington has tried 586 shots (10th in pro hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 10.24%, while allowing their opponents 530 shots. So far this season, the Washington Capitals have earned a total of 60 goals, 22 points, and a points percentage of .550. They have permitted 51 goals to be scored by of a combination of 33 goals at even strength and 18 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have earned 58 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 13.79%. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 72.31% on their opponents 65 power play tries, and their save percentage comes in at 90.4%.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Logan Thompson in the crease. Opponents are averaging 2.63 goals/game and he has surrendered 397 goals altogether. Thompson's quality start rate comes in at 61.6% and he has 93 quality starts in his hockey career. He has been a starter 151 contests and has been on the ice for 7,773 minutes. Thompson holds a career record of 95-43-18 and has participated in 160 games. He has racked up 4,124 stops out of the 4,521 shots attempted, which gives him a rate of .912.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Washington (+132) and under 6.5 goals

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