Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 10/24/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Friday, October 24, 2025

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: MSG Network

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-210) Sabres (+172)

The Buffalo Sabres (3-4-0) will play the Toronto Maple Leafs (3-3-1) at KeyBank Center on Friday. The odds on this game have Toronto at -210 while Buffalo is at +172. The total is set at 6.

The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 5-2 loss against the Devils in their previous game. Toronto accumulated 11 penalty minutes for this contest. Additionally, they had 2 power play chances but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. The Maple Leafs left a lot to be desired in terms of their offense in the loss. In the game, they scored on 2 of the 25 shots they put on goal.

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Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have earned 19 power play opportunities (23rd in hockey) and have earned 4 goals in those chances. The Maple Leafs have had 203 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .877. Toronto has attempted 197 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 12.2%. While at even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 21 goals while having 22 as an offensive unit. Toronto has accumulated 16 power play chances and they have scored 2 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 12.50%. For the season, the have a total of 7 points and their points percentage is .500. Concerning scoring goals, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accumulated 24 goals (6th in pro hockey) so far this season and have allowed 25.

The man in goal for this game is Anthony Stolarz. Opponents have been able to score 340 goals versus Stolarz in his NHL career and his goals against average per contest is 2.79. Stolarz has been in net for 148 games during his hockey career. He has a save percentage of .916 for his 7,541 mins on the ice. He has a win-loss record of 66-42-13 and he has started in 122 games. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Stolarz has accounted for 74 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .607. Stolarz has seen 4,062 shots against him and has garnered 3,722 total saves.

The last time they were on the ice, Buffalo faced off against the Red Wings in a matchup where the Sabres took home the victory by a final of 4-2. The Sabres scored 4 goals of the 31 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 5 opportunities on the power play in this one and tallied 1 out of those opportunities.

The Sabres have earned 13 goals at even strength and 6 goals (6th in hockey) while having a power play advantage. Buffalo has taken 208 shots (11th in hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 9.13%, while allowing the opposition 230 shots. For the year, the Buffalo Sabres have earned a total of 19 goals, 6 points, and a points percentage of .429. They have allowed 20 goals to be scored by way of 19 goals at even strength and 1 goal while they had less men on the ice. They have a total of 24 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 25.00%. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 96.15% on the other teams 26 chances on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 91.3%.

For the opposition you will find Alex Lyon defending the goal. Lyon has amassed a career mark of 53-42-11 and has been in net for 119 contests. Lyon's quality start rate sits at 51.9% and he has qualified for 55 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has a tally of 2,967 saves out of 3,285 shots tried, which gives him a save % of .903. His opposition is averaging 3.00 goals/game and he has conceded 318 goals overall. He has been a starter 106 contests and has played for a total of 6,004 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Buffalo (+172)

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