Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 12/21/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars

Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Victory+

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+120) Stars (-144)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (15-13-5) are on their way to American Airlines Center on Sunday where they will meet the Dallas Stars (23-7-5). The moneyline on this game has the Maple Leafs at +120 while the Stars are sitting at -144. The over/under comes in at 6.

The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the losing side of the ice with a 4-0 defeat against the Capitals in their previous game. Toronto accumulated 6 penalty minutes for this game. The Maple Leafs didn't have a great showing offensively in this loss. In addition, they had 5 power play attempts but weren't able to net one. For the game, they ended the night with no scores out of the 22 shots they looked to score on.

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Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 90 power play tries (29th in the league) and have come away with 15 goals in those chances. The Maple Leafs have had 1,031 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .896. Toronto has taken 890 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.8%. At even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 92 goals while having 93 on the offensive side of the ice. Toronto is sitting with 85 power play opportunities and they have added 12 goals during those advantages, giving them a percentage of 14.12%. For the year, the have a total of 35 points and their points percentage is sitting at .530. Pertaining to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 105 goals (14th in the National Hockey League) over the course of the season and have surrendered 107.

The player between the pipes for this game is Joseph Woll. Woll has played in 87 games over the course of his hockey career. He has earned a record of 53-30-3 and he has gotten the start in 84 games. Opponents have scored 229 goals versus Woll in his pro career and his goals against rate is 2.73. Woll has seen 2,590 shots taken against him and has recorded 2,361 total saves. His save percentage is .912 for his 4,155 minutes on the ice. Over the course of his time in hockey, Woll has 52 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .619.

Their last time out, Dallas faced off against the Sharks in a matchup where the Stars earned a win by a final of 5-3. They had 1 power play opportunity in this outing and netted 1 on that opportunity. The Stars earned 5 goals of the 30 shots on goal they were seeking.

The Stars have 83 goals at even strength and 34 goals (1st in hockey) while on the power play. Dallas has put up 884 shots (25th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 13.24%, while allowing the opposition 982 shots. For the season, the Dallas Stars have accumulated 117 goals, 51 points, as well as a points percentage of .729. They have granted a total of 91 goals to be scored by way of 72 goals at even strength and 19 goals while they were shorthanded. They have recorded 106 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 32.08%. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 82.88% on their opponents 111 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 90.7%.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Jake Oettinger in net. Oettinger has compiled a lifetime mark of 164-72-29 and has been in net for 274 games. Oettinger's percentage of quality starts is 59.2% and he has 157 quality starts in his career. He has accounted for 6,874 stops out of the 7,541 shots tried, giving him a save % of .912. Teams are averaging 2.52 goals/game and he has allowed 667 goals overall. He has been a starter 265 contests and his ice time sits at 13,361 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (+120)

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