Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, 10/11/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings

Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025

Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI

TV: Fanduel Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-182) Red Wings (+150)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (1-0-0) are hitting the road to Little Caesars Arena on Saturday where they will compete against the Detroit Red Wings (0-1-0). The moneyline on this contest has Toronto at -182 while Detroit is opening at +150. The over/under is 6.5.

The Toronto Maple Leafs will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 5-2 victory against the Canadiens their last time on the ice. The Maple Leafs had a good offensive performance and it was apparent in the win. For the game, they tallied a score on 5 of the 27 shots they looked to score on. In addition, they had 2 chances with the advantage but weren't able to score a goal. Toronto had 4 minutes in the box in this contest.

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Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 2 power play tries (26th in professional hockey) and have racked up no goals in those chances. The Maple Leafs so far have had 31 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .935. Toronto has tried 27 shots and has a shooting percentage of 18.5%. When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 2 goals while earning 5 on the offensive side of the ice. Toronto is sitting with 2 power play opportunities and they have tallied no goals during those chances. For the season, they have scored 2 points and their points percentage comes in at 1.000. Pertaining to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have racked up 5 goals (10th in the league) this season and have conceded 2.

The man protecting the net in this game is Anthony Stolarz. Over the course of his time in hockey, Stolarz has compiled 73 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .624. His save percentage is .917 for his 5 minutes on the ice. Stolarz has had 3,923 shots taken against him and has accrued 3,599 saves. Opponents have been able to score 324 goals versus Stolarz in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 3888.00. He has amassed a win-loss record of 65-39-12 and he has gotten the start in 117 games. Stolarz has been involved in 143 contests throughout his NHL career.

Their last time out, Detroit faced the Canadiens in an outing where the Red Wings ended up losing by a mark of 5-1. They had 4 attempts on the power play in this game and notched 1 out of those opportunities. The Red Wings recorded 1 goal out of the 31 shots on goal they attempted.

Over the course of the season, the Detroit Red Wings have earned a total of 1 goal, 0 points, as well as a points percentage of .000. They have granted a total of 5 goals to be scored by of a combination of 4 goals at even strength and 1 goal while they had less men on the ice. The Red Wings have scored no goals at even strength and 1 goal (17th in the NHL) while having a power play advantage. They have a tally of 4 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play percentage of 25.00%. Detroit has taken 31 shots (23rd in the NHL) and has earned a shot percentage of 3.23%, while allowing the opposition 17 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 66.67% on their opponents 3 power play chances, and their save percentage is 70.6%.

Across the rink you will find Cam Talbot in the crease. Talbot has amassed a lifetime record of 266-195-47 and has participated in 534 games. Talbot's quality start rate comes in at 55.1% and he has 280 quality starts in his pro career. He has accounted for 14,047 saves out of the 15,396 shots attempted, which gives him a save percentage of .912. Opponents are averaging 2.66 goals per game and he has conceded 1,349 goals in total. He has started in 508 games and his ice time sits at 30,424 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Detroit (+150) and under 6.5 goals

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