Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, 12/28/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings

Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025

Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI

TV: Fanduel Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+110) Red Wings (-130)

Little Caesars Arena is the location where the Detroit Red Wings (22-13-3) will attempt to defeat the Toronto Maple Leafs (16-15-5) on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has Toronto at +110 and Detroit opens at -130. The over/under is 6.

The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 6-3 victory over the Penguins in their previous contest . Toronto amassed 6 penalty minutes for this matchup. Moreover, they had 2 power play opportunities but didn't net one. The Maple Leafs had a solid offensive outing in this victory. In the game, they finished 6 of the 31 shots they put on net.

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With respect to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accumulated 115 goals (14th in the NHL) for the year and have conceded 120. For the current campaign, they have recorded 37 points and their points percentage comes in at .514. Toronto has accumulated 92 power play chances and they have scored 12 goals during those chances, earning them a percentage of 13.04%. At even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 104 goals while having 103 themselves. Toronto has tried 971 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.8%. The Maple Leafs have had 1,119 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .893. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 96 power play opportunities (30th in hockey) and have racked up 16 goals in those chances.

The man protecting the net in this game is Dennis Hildeby. Hildeby has been involved in 19 contests during his pro hockey career. He has earned a mark of 5-8-3 and he was named the starter in 15 games. Opponents have been able to score 52 goals versus Hildeby in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per game is 3.47. Hildeby has had 505 shot attempts against him and has accrued 453 saves. His save percentage is at .897 during his 345 mins guarding the cage. In his career, Hildeby is sitting with 6 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .400.

In their last game, Detroit opposed the Stars in a matchup where the Red Wings took home the win by a final score of 4-3. The Red Wings notched 4 goals of the 25 shots on goal they pursued. They had 3 power play attempts in this matchup and recorded 2 out of those opportunities.

Detroit has attempted 1,122 shots (4th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 10.52%, while allowing their opponents 1,040 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 80.39% on the other teams 102 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage currently comes in at 88.5%. They have a tally of 117 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 24.79%. The Red Wings have 89 goals at even strength and 29 goals (5th in hockey) while on the power play. They have allowed 120 goals to be scored by of a combination of 100 goals at even strength and 20 goals while they were shorthanded. For the season, the Detroit Red Wings have accumulated 118 goals, 47 points, as well as a points percentage of .618.

Across the rink you are likely to see Cam Talbot patrolling the crease. His opposition is averaging 2.67 goals per contest and he has surrendered 1,403 goals altogether. Talbot's quality start percentage sits at 55.0% and he has qualified for 289 quality starts in his pro hockey career. He has started in 525 games and has been on the ice for 28,294 mins. Talbot is sitting with a career record of 276-201-49 and has participated in 552 contests. He has compiled 14,466 stops out of 15,869 shots attempted against him, giving him a rate of .912.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (+110)

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