Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Prediction, 5/11/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers

Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025

Location: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, FL

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+160) Panthers (-190)

Amerant Bank Arena is the location where the Florida Panthers (47-31-4) will meet the Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4) on Sunday in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Toronto leads the series 2-1. The odds on this game have the Maple Leafs at +160 while the Panthers open at -190. The betting total is set at 6.5.

The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4-3 victory over the Panthers in Game 3. The Maple Leafs had a good offensive output in this win. In the game, they finished 4 of the 20 shots they tried. Moreover, they had 3 opportunities with more players on the ice and were able to notch 1 goal. Toronto garnered 8 minutes in the box in this contest.

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Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have recorded 235 power play tries (13th in hockey) and have scored 52 goals in those chances. The Maple Leafs have seen 2,405 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .905. Toronto has taken 2,297 shots and has a shot percentage of 11.6%. At even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed the opponent to score 177 goals while getting 213 of their own. Toronto is sitting with 218 power play chances and they have tallied 54 goals during those chances, giving them a percentage of 24.77%. For the current campaign, they have recorded 108 points and their points percentage sits at .659. With regard to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accumulated 267 goals (7th in the NHL) for the season and have allowed 229.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Anthony Stolarz. Throughout his time in hockey, Stolarz has tallied 72 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .621. His save percentage sits at .917 in his 5,601 minutes on the ice. Stolarz has had 3,892 shots against him and has recorded 3,570 total saves. Opponents have been able to score 322 goals against Stolarz in his NHL career and his goals against rate is 3.45. He has earned a win-loss record of 64-39-12 and he started in 116 games. Stolarz has been in net for 142 contests during his professional hockey career.

In Game 3, The Panthers scored 3 goals out of the 28 shots on goal they attempted. They had 2 power play attempts in this one and tallied 1 out of those tries.

So far this year, the Florida Panthers have a total of 246 goals, 98 points, and a points percentage of .598. They have permitted 223 goals to be scored by of a combination of 176 goals at even strength and 47 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Panthers have scored 190 goals at even strength and 56 goals (9th in professional hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have a total of 238 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 23.53%. Florida has taken 2,588 shots (3rd in pro hockey) and has a shot percentage of 9.51%, while allowing the other team 2,146 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 80.74% on their opponents 244 power play tries, and their save percentage currently sits at 89.6%.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Sergei Bobrovsky protecting the net. Bobrovsky has accrued a career mark of 429-243-57 and has played in 754 games. Bobrovsky's rate of quality starts comes out to 58.0% and he has 428 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has compiled 19,926 saves out of 21,794 shots attempted, giving him a save % of .914. Opponents are averaging 2.77 goals per contest and he has given up 1,868 goals overall. He has been a starter 738 games and has played 40,458 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Florida (-190)

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