Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Prediction, 5/16/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers

Date: Friday, May 16, 2025

Location: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, FL

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+200) Panthers (-240)

Amerant Bank Arena is the site where the Florida Panthers (47-31-4) will go up against the Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4) on Friday in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Florida leads the series 3 - 2. The line on this contest has the Maple Leafs at +200 while the Panthers open at -240. The over/under comes in at 6.

The Toronto Maple Leafs will look for better times on the ice after their 2-0 loss to the Panthers in Game 5. Toronto amassed 30 minutes in the box in this matchup. They also had 3 power play tries but weren't able to score. The Maple Leafs had a rough night on the offensive side of the ice in this loss. In the game, they converted 1 out of the 32 shots they tried.

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When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed 177 goals while scoring 213 of their own. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have totaled 235 power play opportunities (13th in the NHL) and have tallied 52 goals in those attempts. When it comes to scoring goals, the Toronto Maple Leafs have tallied 267 goals (7th in pro hockey) over the course of the season and have surrendered 229. Toronto has attempted 2,297 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.6%. For the year, they have scored 108 points and their points % is .659. The Maple Leafs thus far have had 2,405 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .905. Toronto has compiled 218 power play opportunities and they have scored 54 goals during those chances, earning them a rate of 24.77%.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Joseph Woll. In his professional hockey career, Woll has earned 44 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .587. His save percentage currently is at .910 for his 2,229 mins on the ice. Woll has had 2,330 shots against him and has recorded 2,121 total saves. The opposition has racked up 209 goals versus Woll in his career and his goals against average per game is 5.63. He has amassed a record of 48-27-2 and he has gotten the start in 75 games. Woll has played in 78 contests over the course of his NHL career.

In Game 5, Florida had 4 power play opportunities in this matchup and tallied 1 out of those opportunities. The Panthers had 6 goals out of the 32 shots on goal they tried.

On the season, the Florida Panthers have earned a total of 246 goals, 98 points, in addition to a points percentage of .598. They have allowed 223 goals to be scored by way of 176 goals at even strength and 47 goals while they were shorthanded. The Panthers are sitting with 190 goals at even strength and 56 goals (9th in the NHL) while having more men on the ice. They have recorded 238 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play percentage of 23.53%. Florida has attempted 2,588 shots (3rd in the NHL) and has earned a shooting percentage of 9.51%, while allowing the other team 2,146 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 80.74% on the other teams 244 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 89.6%.

For the opposition you are going to see Sergei Bobrovsky defending the net. His opponents are averaging 2.77 goals per game and he has surrendered 1,868 goals in total. Bobrovsky's quality start rate comes out to 58.0% and he has accumulated 428 quality starts in his pro hockey career. He has been a starter 738 games and has played for a total of 40,458 mins. Bobrovsky has accrued a lifetime mark of 429-243-57 and has played in 754 contests. He has racked up 19,926 saves out of 21,794 shots taken, which gives him a percentage of .914.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (+200)

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