Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Prediction, 5/9/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers

Date: Friday, May 9, 2025

Location: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, FL

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+195) Panthers (-230)

Down 0 - 2 in the series, the Florida Panthers (47-31-4) are hosting the Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4) at Amerant Bank Arena on Friday in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. The moneyline on this matchup has Toronto at +195 and Florida is opening at -230. The over/under has been set at 6.

The Toronto Maple Leafs will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 4-3 victory against the Panthers in Game 2. Toronto accrued 8 penalty mins in this contest. The Maple Leafs had a impressive offensive outing in the victory. Additionally, they had 3 power play tries and netted 1 goal. In the game, they netted 4 of the 20 shots they looked to score on.

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Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have recorded 235 power play tries (13th in the league) and have notched 52 goals in those attempts. The Maple Leafs have seen 2,405 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .905. Toronto has attempted 2,297 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.6%. At even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 177 goals while having 213 when they are on offense. Toronto has compiled 218 power play chances and they have notched 54 goals out of those chances, giving them a percentage of 24.77%. For the season, they have 108 points and their points percentage is .659. In terms of their scoring, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accounted for 267 goals (7th in the NHL) this year and have surrendered 229.

The man in goal for this game is Anthony Stolarz. Opponents have scored 322 goals versus Stolarz in his professional career and his average for goals against per game is 3.40. Stolarz has taken the ice for 142 games throughout his hockey career. His save percentage currently is at .917 during his 5,683 mins on the ice. He has compiled an overall record of 64-39-12 and he has gotten the start in 116 games. For his career, Stolarz has recorded 72 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .621. Stolarz has seen 3,892 shots against him and has recorded 3,570 saves.

In Game 2, the Panthers netted 3 goals of the 28 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 2 power play attempts in this one and recorded 1 out of those tries.

The Panthers are sitting with 190 goals at even strength and 56 goals (9th in the league) while on the power play. Florida has taken 2,588 shots (3rd in hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 9.51%, while allowing the other team 2,146 shots. On the year, the Florida Panthers have notched a total of 246 goals, 98 points, as well as a points percentage of .598. They have permitted 223 goals to be scored by way of 176 goals at even strength and 47 goals while they were shorthanded. They have recorded 238 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 23.53%. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 80.74% on their oppositions 244 tries on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 89.6%.

Across the ice you are going to see Sergei Bobrovsky patrolling the crease. Teams are averaging 2.77 goals per contest and he has allowed 1,868 goals altogether. Bobrovsky's percentage of quality starts is 58.0% and he has made 428 quality starts in his pro career. He has started in 738 games and has been on the ice for 40,458 minutes. Bobrovsky has accrued a lifetime record of 429-243-57 and has participated in 754 games. He has accrued 19,926 saves out of the 21,794 shots taken, which gives him a percentage of .914.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (+195)

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