Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 11/22/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: TSN2

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+172) Canadiens (-210)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (9-9-2) are headed to Bell Centre on Saturday where they will compete against the Montreal Canadiens (10-6-3). The odds on this game have the Maple Leafs at +172 and the Canadiens are at -210. The total has been set at 6.

The Toronto Maple Leafs came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 3-2 victory over the Blues in their previous game. Toronto tallied 6 penalty mins in this matchup. The Maple Leafs played like an average offensive team in this win. In addition, they had 3 chances with extra men on the ice but weren't able to score a goal. In the game, they netted 3 of the 29 shots they looked to score on.

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In relation to their scoring, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accounted for 70 goals (5th in the NHL) this season and have surrendered 74. For the current season, they have 20 points and their points percentage is .500. Toronto comes into tonight with 53 power play chances and they have scored 8 goals during those chances, garnering them a percentage of 15.09%. At even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed 61 goals while getting 62 when they are on offense. Toronto has taken 556 shots and has a shot percentage of 12.6%. The Maple Leafs have had 622 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .881. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have earned 60 power play opportunities (16th in the NHL) and have tallied 13 goals in those attempts.

The player in the crease for this game is Joseph Woll. The opposition has notched 209 goals versus Woll in his NHL career and his goals against average is 2.79. Woll has played in 78 contests throughout his NHL career. He has a save percentage of .910 during his 4,134 minutes played. He has earned a record of 48-27-2 and he has gotten the start in 75 games. For his professional hockey career, Woll has recorded 44 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .587. Woll has seen 2,330 shots taken against him and has recorded 2,121 total saves.

In their last outing, Montreal went up against the Blue Jackets in a matchup where the Canadiens got the tie by a tally of 3-3. They had 1 power play opportunity in this game but weren't able to score a goal. The Canadiens recorded 3 goals out of the 32 shots on goal they were seeking.

Montreal has taken 479 shots (29th in pro hockey) and has a shot percentage of 13.15%, while allowing the other team 498 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 78.46% on their oppositions 65 chances on the power play, and their save percentage is 87.1%. They have recorded 56 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 21.43%. The Canadiens have racked up 51 goals at even strength and 12 goals (17th in the league) while having more men on the ice. They have granted a total of 64 goals to be scored by way of 50 goals at even strength and 14 goals while they had less men on the ice. So far this year, the Montreal Canadiens have earned a total of 63 goals, 23 points, as well as a points percentage of .605.

Across the ice you will find Sam Montembeault patrolling the crease. Opponents are averaging 3.30 goals/game and he has yielded 654 goals overall. Montembeault's quality start percentage comes out to 52.0% and he has qualified for 103 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He got the starting nod in 198 games and has played 10,944 minutes. Montembeault has a career mark of 84-89-29 and has been in net for 217 contests. He has recorded 5,699 stops out of 6,353 shots tried, which gives him a save % of .897.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (+172)

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