Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, 11/29/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025

Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: Sportsnet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+106) Penguins (-128)

PPG Paints Arena is the site where the Pittsburgh Penguins (11-6-5) will go up against the Toronto Maple Leafs (10-10-3) on Saturday. The line on this contest has Toronto at +106 while Pittsburgh is at -128. The over/under is 6.5.

The Toronto Maple Leafs came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 2-1 victory against the Blue Jackets their last time out. Toronto recorded 8 mins in the box for this game. Furthermore, they had 2 opportunities with more players on the ice but weren't able to score. The Maple Leafs could have played much better offensively in the win. In the outing, they tallied a score on 2 out of the 24 shots they put on net.

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When playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have surrendered 70 goals while getting 67 as an offensive unit. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have earned 68 power play tries (20th in the league) and have come away with 13 goals in those attempts. In reference to scoring goals, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accounted for 76 goals (9th in hockey) this season and have surrendered 83. Toronto has taken 635 shots and holds a shot percentage of 12.0%. For the current campaign, they have recorded 23 points and their points percentage sits at .500. The Maple Leafs so far have had 717 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .884. Toronto is sitting with 60 power play chances and they have scored 9 goals out of those chances, giving them a percentage of 15.00%.

The player in the crease for this game is Dennis Hildeby. In his professional hockey career, Hildeby has accrued 2 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .250. His save percentage sits at .887 for his 327 mins in the crease. Hildeby has seen 284 shot attempts taken against him and he has 252 total saves. Opponents have racked up 32 goals against Hildeby in his NHL career and his goals against average is 4.00. He has earned a win-loss mark of 3-5-1 and got the start in 8 games. Hildeby has been in goal for 11 games during his professional hockey career.

When they took the ice last, Pittsburgh squared up with the Sabres in an outing where the Penguins got the victory by a final of 4-2. They had 1 power play attempt in this game but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. The Penguins had 4 goals out of the 19 shots on goal they attempted.

The Penguins have accumulated 52 goals at even strength and 16 goals (12th in hockey) while on the power play. Pittsburgh has put up 590 shots (27th in pro hockey) and has a shot percentage of 11.53%, while allowing the other team 627 shots. On the season, the Pittsburgh Penguins are sitting with 68 goals, 27 points, and a points percentage of .614. They have allowed 57 goals to be scored by of a combination of 48 goals at even strength and 9 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have a tally of 51 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 31.37%. They have a penalty kill percentage of 85.25% on the other teams 61 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 90.9%.

For the opposition you are likely to see Tristan Jarry in goal. Opponents are averaging 2.68 goals per contest and he has yielded 775 goals in total. Jarry's quality start rate comes in at 59.2% and he has qualified for 171 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He was named a starter in 289 games and has played for a total of 15,549 mins. Jarry has accumulated a career record of 158-99-31 and has participated in 301 games. He has accounted for 7,781 saves out of the 8,556 shots taken against him, which gives him a save percentage of .909.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-128)

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