Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction, 11/28/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals

Date: Friday, November 28, 2025

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.

TV: Monumental Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+102) Capitals (-122)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (10-10-3) are traveling to Capital One Arena on Friday where they will try to beat the Washington Capitals (13-9-2). The moneyline on this contest has the Maple Leafs at +102 while the Capitals are coming in at -122. The total is 6.

The Toronto Maple Leafs will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 2-1 win over the Blue Jackets in their previous contest . Toronto tallied 8 minutes in the box in this game. Additionally, they had 2 power play opportunities but weren't able to score a goal. The Maple Leafs had a below average offensive outing in the victory. For the matchup, they finished 2 out of the 24 shots they attempted.

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Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have earned 68 power play opportunities (20th in the league) and have notched 13 goals in those chances. The Maple Leafs have seen 717 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .884. Toronto has taken 635 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 12.0%. At even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed the opponent to score 70 goals while scoring 67 as an offensive unit. Toronto comes into tonight with 60 power play opportunities and they have notched 9 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a rate of 15.00%. For the current campaign, they have earned 23 points and their points percentage is sitting at .500. Concerning their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accumulated 76 goals (9th in hockey) on the season and have allowed 83.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Joseph Woll. Woll has been involved in 78 matchups over the course of his professional hockey career. He has accumulated an overall record of 48-27-2 and he started in 75 games. Opponents have been able to score 209 goals against Woll in his NHL career and his average for goals against per game is 2.79. Woll has seen 2,330 shot attempts against him and has recorded 2,121 total saves. His save percentage is at .910 in his 4,134 minutes on the ice. Over the course of his career, Woll has recorded 44 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .587.

The last time they were on the ice, Washington faced off against the Jets in a game where the Capitals earned a win by a final of 4-3. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this game but didn't score a goal. The Capitals tallied 4 goals out of the 34 shots on goal they pursued.

On the campaign, the Washington Capitals have 80 goals, 28 points, and a points percentage of .583. They have granted a total of 64 goals to be scored by of a combination of 43 goals at even strength and 21 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Capitals are sitting with 69 goals at even strength and 11 goals (23rd in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have a tally of 73 chances on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 15.07%. Washington has attempted 719 shots (6th in hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 11.13%, while allowing the opposition 618 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 72.00% on their oppositions 75 power play tries, and their save percentage comes in at 89.6%.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Logan Thompson protecting the net. He has gathered 4,148 stops out of the 4,550 shots attempted against him, giving him a percentage of .912. Thompson has accumulated a career record of 96-44-18 and has played in 162 contests. He has started in 153 games and his ice time sits at 7,776 mins. Thompson's quality start rate comes out to 61.4% and he has accumulated 94 quality starts in his career. Teams are averaging 2.63 goals per contest and he has surrendered 402 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Washington (-122)

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