Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, 5/12/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers

Date: Monday, May 12, 2025

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Golden Knights (+105) Oilers (-125)

The Vegas Golden Knights (50-22-10) are hitting the road to Rogers Place on Monday where they will attempt to defeat the Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5) in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals. Edmonton leads the series 2-1. The odds on this game have Vegas at +105 and Edmonton is sitting at -125. The total has been set at 6.5.

The Vegas Golden Knights were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4-3 win against the Oilers in Game 3 on a buzzer beating goal. The Golden Knights had a great offensive game plan going into this one and it showed in this win. While out there on the ice, they finished 4 of the 24 shots they tried. In addition, they had 2 chances with the advantage but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. Vegas earned 4 penalty mins for this matchup.

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Pertaining to their scoring capabilities, the Vegas Golden Knights have tallied 274 goals (5th in the National Hockey League) this season and have conceded 214. For the current campaign, they have scored 110 points and their points percentage sits at .671. Vegas has tallied 187 power play chances and they have tallied 53 goals out of those advantages, giving them a rate of 28.34%. While at even strength, the Golden Knights have conceded 173 goals while notching 221 of their own. Vegas has tried 2,482 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 11.0%. The Golden Knights have had 2,141 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .900. Vegas Golden Knights opponents have totaled 169 power play opportunities (32nd in pro hockey) and have a total of 41 goals in those chances.

The man protecting the net in this game is Adin Hill. Hill has played in 186 games during his hockey career. He has amassed an overall mark of 96-64-13 and he has gotten the start in 173 games. The opposition has racked up 452 goals against Hill in his NHL career and his goals against average is 3.60. Hill has seen 4,965 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 4,513 saves. He has a save percentage of .909 in his 7,542 minutes guarding the cage. For his professional hockey career, Hill has compiled 92 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .532.

In Game 3, they had 2 opportunities on the power play in this outing and converted 1 out of those opportunities. The Oilers netted 3 goals out of the 20 shots on goal they were seeking.

Edmonton has put up 2,622 shots (1st in pro hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 9.88%, while allowing the opposition 2,211 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 78.16% on the other teams 206 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 89.4%. They have a tally of 215 chances on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 23.72%. The Oilers have tallied 208 goals at even strength and 51 goals (14th in hockey) while on the power play. They have allowed 235 goals to be scored by of a combination of 190 goals at even strength and 45 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the season, the Edmonton Oilers have earned 259 goals, 101 points, and a points percentage of .616.

Across the rink you will find Calvin Pickard between the pipes. Pickard has amassed a career record of 69-71-12 and has been in net for 175 games. Pickard's quality start rate sits at 52.8% and he has 76 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has accrued 4,179 stops out of 4,626 shots tried, which gives him a save % of .903. His opponents are averaging 3.59 goals per game and he has relinquished 447 goals altogether. He has made the start in 144 games and has racked up 7,478 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Edmonton (-125) and under 6.5 goals

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