Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 10/26/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

Odds/Point Spread: Golden Knights (-132) Lightning (+110)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (1-4-2) host the Vegas Golden Knights (5-0-2) at Amalie Arena on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has Vegas at -132 and Tampa Bay opens at +110. The over/under is set at 6.5.

The Vegas Golden Knights were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4-1 win against the Hurricanes their last time on the ice. Vegas recorded 8 mins in the box in this matchup. Additionally, they had 4 power play attempts but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. The Golden Knights played really well in this victory. While out there on the ice, they were able to notch a goal on 4 out of the 26 shots they looked to score on.

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While playing at even strength, the Golden Knights have allowed the opponent to score 14 goals while having 21 on the offensive side of the ice. Vegas Golden Knights opponents have earned 19 power play tries (29th in the league) and have tallied 5 goals in those chances. When discussing their scoring, the Vegas Golden Knights have earned 30 goals (2nd in hockey) on the season and have given up 19. Vegas has taken 214 shots and has a shooting percentage of 14.0%. For the season, they have accumulated 12 points and their points percentage is .857. The Golden Knights have seen 178 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .893. Vegas comes into tonight with 28 power play chances and they have scored 9 goals out of those tries, earning them a percentage of 32.14%.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Akira Schmid. Schmid has been in net for 52 games throughout his NHL career. He has compiled an overall record of 20-18-4 and he was named the starter in 38 games. Opponents have been able to score 113 goals versus Schmid in his professional hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 2.97. Schmid has seen 1,158 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 1,045 saves. His save percentage is at .902 for his 2,553 minutes on the ice. Over the course of his time in hockey, Schmid has accounted for 17 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .447.

When they were on the ice last, Tampa Bay faced the Blackhawks in a game where the Lightning took the defeat by a mark of 3-2. They had 4 power play attempts in this contest but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal. The Lightning netted 2 goals of the 31 shots on goal they pursued.

During this campaign, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accumulated 18 goals, 4 points, as well as a points percentage of .286. They have granted a total of 24 goals to be scored by way of 21 goals at even strength and 3 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Lightning have tallied 14 goals at even strength and 4 goals (26th in hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have recorded 20 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 20.00%. Tampa Bay has taken 171 shots (31st in the league) and has earned a shooting percentage of 10.53%, while allowing their opponents 213 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 88.46% on their oppositions 26 power play chances, and their save percentage currently comes in at 88.7%.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Andrei Vasilevskiy in goal. Teams are averaging 2.53 goals per contest and he has surrendered 1,352 goals altogether. Vasilevskiy's quality start rate comes out to 57.4% and he has 307 quality starts in his pro career. He has made the start in 535 games and his ice time sits at 28,632 mins. Vasilevskiy is the owner of a career mark of 331-166-37 and has been in net for 545 games. He has gathered 14,903 saves out of the 16,255 shots attempted, which gives him a percentage of .917.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Vegas (-132)

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