Washington Capitals vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 11/1/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Capitals vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: MSG Network

Odds/Point Spread: Capitals (-122) Sabres (+102)

The Washington Capitals (6-4-0) are en route to KeyBank Center on Saturday where they will take on the Buffalo Sabres (4-4-2). The line on this matchup has Washington at -122 while Buffalo is at +102. The total has been set at 6.

The Washington Capitals will look for better times on the ice after their 1-0 defeat against the Stars in their previous game. Washington recorded 8 mins in the box in this contest. The Capitals offense left a lot to be desired in this defeat. Furthermore, they had 3 power play chances but weren't able to score a goal. For the game, they weren't able to convert any of the 24 shots they put on net.

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Washington Capitals opponents have earned 28 power play tries (25th in hockey) and have notched 9 goals in those chances. The Capitals have seen 257 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .914. Washington has taken 291 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 9.3%. When playing at even strength, the Capitals have given up 13 goals while notching 21 of their own. Washington comes into tonight with 32 power play chances and they have notched 6 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a rate of 18.75%. For the season, they have racked up 12 points and their points percentage sits at .600. In terms of their goal scoring prowess, the Washington Capitals have accounted for 27 goals (27th in pro hockey) on the campaign and have surrendered 22.

The man in net for this game is Logan Thompson. Thompson has been in net for 153 contests over the course of his pro hockey career. He has amassed an overall mark of 92-40-17 and he has started in 144 games. The opposition has notched 379 goals against Thompson in his professional hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.63. Thompson has seen 4,336 shot attempts against him and he has 3,957 total saves. His save percentage currently is .913 during his 7,755 minutes between the pipes. Throughout his time in hockey, Thompson is sitting with 89 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .618.

In their last contest, Buffalo went up against the Blue Jackets in a matchup where the Sabres took the loss by a final score of 4-3. They had 2 attempts on the power play in this contest but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. The Sabres had 3 goals out of the 38 shots on goal they pursued.

On the year, the Buffalo Sabres are sitting with 30 goals, 10 points, as well as a points percentage of .500. They have allowed 31 goals to be scored by of a combination of 28 goals at even strength and 3 goals while they were shorthanded. The Sabres have earned 23 goals at even strength and 7 goals (17th in pro hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have earned 32 power play opportunities and they have a power play percentage of 21.88%. Buffalo has attempted 302 shots (13th in hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 9.93%, while allowing their opponents 329 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 91.18% on their opponents 34 power play tries, and their save percentage currently sits at 90.6%.

For the opposition you will find Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen protecting the goal. He is sitting with 4,005 saves out of 4,462 shots taken, which gives him a percentage of .898. Luukkonen has accrued a career record of 71-65-16 and has participated in 156 games. He has made the start in 152 games and has played for a total of 8,218 minutes. Luukkonen's percentage of quality starts is 53.3% and he has earned 81 quality starting assignments in his professional career. His opponents are averaging 3.01 goals/game and he has allowed 457 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Washington (-122)

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