Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes Prediction, 5/12/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes

Date: Monday, May 12, 2025

Location: Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Capitals (+195) Hurricanes (-230)

Lenovo Center is where the Carolina Hurricanes (47-30-5) will go up against the Washington Capitals (51-22-9) on Monday in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Carolina leads the series 2-1. The line on this matchup has the Capitals at +195 while the Hurricanes are sitting at -230. The total comes in at 6.

The Washington Capitals had a rough game after their 4-0 loss to the Hurricanes in Game 3. Washington tallied 18 penalty minutes in this outing. The Capitals didn't have their best offensive outing in this defeat. Furthermore, they had 2 attempts on the power play but didn't get a goal. In the game, they took the loss without having netted any of the 21 shots they put on net.

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With respect to their goal scoring prowess, the Washington Capitals have notched 286 goals (2nd in the league) so far this season and have given up 229. For the year, they have earned 111 points and their points percentage is .677. Washington steps onto the ice with 221 power play chances and they have scored 52 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 23.53%. When playing at even strength, the Capitals have conceded 186 goals while scoring 234 when they are on offense. Washington has taken 2,265 shots and holds a shot percentage of 12.6%. The Capitals thus far have had 2,229 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .897. Washington Capitals opponents have 239 power play opportunities (9th in professional hockey) and have come away with 43 goals in those attempts.

The player between the pipes for this game is Logan Thompson. Over the course of his pro career, Thompson has accumulated 82 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .599. He has a save percentage of .912 during his 6,028 minutes played. Thompson has seen 4,173 shots against him and has accrued 3,804 saves. Opponents have notched 369 goals against Thompson in his career and his goals against average per contest is 3.67. He has earned an overall mark of 87-38-17 and was named the starter in 137 games. Thompson has taken the ice for 146 matchups over the course of his NHL career.

In Game 3, the Hurricanes scored 4 goals out of the 28 shots on goal they attempted. They had 2 power play attempts in this matchup and scored 2 out of those chances.

So far this year, the Carolina Hurricanes have accumulated 266 goals, 99 points, in addition to a points percentage of .604. They have granted a total of 230 goals to be scored by of a combination of 190 goals at even strength and 40 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Hurricanes have earned 220 goals at even strength and 46 goals (20th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have a tally of 246 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play percentage of 18.70%. Carolina has attempted 2,599 shots (2nd in hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 10.23%, while allowing the other team 2,044 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 83.61% on their opponents 244 power play tries, and their save percentage is 88.7%.

Across the rink you are expected to see Frederik Andersen in the crease. Teams are averaging 2.67 goals per contest and he has relinquished 1,273 goals altogether. Andersen's quality start rate comes out to 57.7% and he has 290 quality starting assignments in his pro hockey career. He has started in 503 games and has been on the ice for 28,621 minutes. Andersen holds a career mark of 308-135-53 and has been in goal for 517 contests. He has gathered 13,734 saves out of the 15,007 shots tried, giving him a save % of .915.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Washington (+195)

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