Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 10/28/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars

Date: Tuesday, October 28, 2025

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Capitals (-130) Stars (+110)

American Airlines Center is the location where the Dallas Stars (5-3-1) will take on the Washington Capitals (6-3-0) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has Washington at -130 while Dallas is coming in at +110. The total is set at 6.

The Washington Capitals will need a bounce back game after taking a 7-1 loss against the Senators in their previous outing. Washington accumulated 16 penalty minutes in this outing. The Capitals could have played much better offensively in the loss. Additionally, they had 2 power play chances but weren't able to score. While out there on the ice, they tallied a score on 1 out of the 13 shots they looked to score on.

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Washington Capitals opponents have tallied 24 power play tries (29th in pro hockey) and have tallied 8 goals in those chances. The Capitals so far have had 238 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .912. Washington has attempted 267 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.1%. While playing at even strength, the Capitals let the opposition score 13 goals while getting 21 on offense. Washington has compiled 29 power play chances and they have tallied 6 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 20.69%. For the current campaign, they have tallied 12 points and their points percentage comes in at .667. Concerning their scoring capabilities, the Washington Capitals have accumulated 27 goals (19th in hockey) on the season and have conceded 21.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Logan Thompson. Opponents have racked up 378 goals against Thompson in his career and his goals against average is 2.64. Thompson has been involved in 152 games over the course of his hockey career. He has a save percentage of .912 during his 7,753 mins in the crease. He has accumulated an overall record of 92-39-17 and he started in 143 games. Over the course of his time in hockey, Thompson has recorded 88 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .615. Thompson has seen 4,317 shots taken against him and has recorded 3,939 saves.

The last time they were on the ice, Dallas faced off against the Predators in a matchup where the Stars got the victory by a final score of 3-2. They had 5 power play attempts in this one and netted 1 out of those attempts. The Stars notched 3 goals out of the 27 shots on goal they took.

Dallas has taken 249 shots (23rd in the league) and has earned a shooting percentage of 10.84%, while allowing the other team 260 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 67.86% on their oppositions 28 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 88.5%. They have earned 31 chances on the power play and they have a power play rate of 32.26%. The Stars have earned 17 goals at even strength and 10 goals (2nd in the NHL) while having a power play advantage. They have granted a total of 30 goals to be scored by way of 21 goals at even strength and 9 goals while they had less men on the ice. For the year, the Dallas Stars have earned a total of 27 goals, 11 points, as well as a points percentage of .611.

On the other side of the ice you are expected to see Jake Oettinger defending the goal. He has recorded 6,482 stops out of 7,111 shots attempted, which gives him a rate of .912. Oettinger has earned a lifetime mark of 153-68-28 and has been in goal for 258 contests. He got the starting nod in 249 games and has played 13,321 mins. Oettinger's percentage of quality starts sits at 58.6% and he has 146 quality starts in his professional career. His opponents are averaging 2.53 goals per game and he has allowed 629 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Dallas (+110)

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