Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 5/11/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars

Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Jets (+125) Stars (-145)

American Airlines Center is the site where the Dallas Stars (50-26-6) will go up against the Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4) on Sunday in Game 3 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The series is tied 1-1. The line on this contest has Winnipeg at +125 while Dallas is opening at -145. The over/under is set at 6.

The Winnipeg Jets had a rough game after their 3-2 loss to the Stars in Game 2. Winnipeg recorded 6 penalty minutes for this contest. The Jets had a rough night on the offensive side of the ice in the loss. They also had 4 power play opportunities but weren't able to make the most of them. For the outing, they scored on 2 of the 31 shots they tried.

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When at even strength, the Jets have allowed the opponent to score 149 goals while having 212 on the offensive side of the ice. Winnipeg Jets opponents have amassed 199 power play tries (27th in hockey) and have scored 41 goals in those attempts. With regard to their scoring capabilities, the Winnipeg Jets have racked up 275 goals (3rd in pro hockey) on the season and have given up 190. Winnipeg has attempted 2,313 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 11.9%. For the current campaign, they have accumulated 116 points and their points % is .707. The Jets thus far have had 2,229 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .915. Winnipeg has compiled 218 power play chances and they have scored 63 goals during those advantages, giving them a rate of 28.90%.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Connor Hellebuyck. The opposition has racked up 1,406 goals against Hellebuyck in his career and his goals against average is 2.87. Hellebuyck has been in net for 568 games during his hockey career. His save percentage is at .918 in his 29,413 minutes between the pipes. He has earned a win-loss mark of 322-185-44 and he has started in 558 games. In his career, Hellebuyck has tallied 335 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .600. Hellebuyck has had 17,066 shots against him and has recorded 15,660 total saves.

In Game 2, They had 2 power play chances in this one and scored 1 out of those tries. The Stars converted 3 goals out of the 24 shots on goal they took.

The Stars have racked up 220 goals at even strength and 55 goals (10th in professional hockey) while having more men on the ice. Dallas has taken 2,325 shots (14th in hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 11.83%, while allowing their opponents 2,382 shots. During this campaign, the Dallas Stars are sitting with 275 goals, 106 points, as well as a points percentage of .646. They have permitted 222 goals to be scored by way of 181 goals at even strength and 41 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have earned 250 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play rate of 22.00%. They have a penalty kill rate of 82.02% on the other teams 228 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 90.7%.

On the other side of the ice you are going to see Jake Oettinger in net. His opposition is averaging 3.26 goals per game and he has conceded 608 goals in total. Oettinger's quality start rate sits at 58.7% and he has 142 quality starting assignments in his hockey career. He has made the start in 242 contests and has played for a total of 11,183 mins. Oettinger has amassed a career record of 149-66-27 and has participated in 251 contests. He has accrued 6,296 saves out of 6,904 shots taken, which gives him a save percentage of .912.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Winnipeg (+125)

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