Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 4/28/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Tuesday, April 28, 2026

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Bruins (+142) Sabres (-170)

KeyBank Center is the site where the Buffalo Sabres (50-23-9) will try to defeat the Boston Bruins (45-27-10) on Tuesday in Game 5 of their 1st round series. Buffalo leads 3-1. The odds on this game have Boston at +142 and Buffalo is priced at -170. The total comes in at 5.5.

The Boston Bruins were on the losing side of the ice with a 6-1 loss to the Sabres in Game 4. The Bruins had a below average offensive performance in this loss. For the game, they scored on 1 out of the 24 shots they put on goal. They also had 1 opportunity with more players on the ice but weren't able to score. Boston earned 25 mins in the box in this game.

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Regarding their goal scoring prowess, the Boston Bruins have earned 268 goals (11th in the NHL) on the season and have given up 247. For the season, they have tallied 100 points and their points % is .610. Boston comes into the game with 235 power play opportunities and they have scored 55 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a rate of 23.40%. While playing at even strength, the Bruins have surrendered 183 goals while notching 213 themselves. Boston has taken 2,216 shots and holds a shot percentage of 12.1%. The Bruins have had 2,435 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .899. Boston Bruins opponents have totaled 278 power play tries (1st in the NHL) and have earned 64 goals in those chances.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Jeremy Swayman. The opposition has been able to score 617 goals versus Swayman in his pro hockey career and his goals against average is 2.60. Swayman has taken the ice for 245 games during his NHL career. His save percentage sits at .910 in his 10,205 minutes on the ice. He has compiled a mark of 132-80-26 and he was named the starter in 237 games. Over the course of his pro career, Swayman has recorded 148 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .624. Swayman has had 6,825 shots against him and he has 6,208 saves.

Buffalo dominated Game 4 from start to finish. The Sabres recorded 6 goals of the 35 shots on goal they pursued. They had 3 chances on the power play in this game but were not able to net one.

Buffalo has put up 2,307 shots (13th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 12.27%, while allowing their opponents 2,381 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 81.90% on their opponents 232 power play tries, and their save percentage sits at 89.9%. They have recorded 246 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 19.51%. The Sabres have scored 235 goals at even strength and 48 goals (18th in the NHL) while having more men on the ice. They have allowed 240 goals to be scored by way of 198 goals at even strength and 42 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the season, the Buffalo Sabres have accounted for 283 goals, 109 points, as well as a points percentage of .665.

Across the ice you are likely to see Alex Lyon in the crease. Lyon has earned a career record of 71-48-15 and has participated in 149 games. Lyon's quality start percentage sits at 55.2% and he has 74 quality starting assignments in his hockey career. He has accounted for 3,670 stops out of the 4,065 shots attempted against him, giving him a save percentage of .903. Opponents are averaging 2.95 goals per game and he has relinquished 395 goals in total. He has made the start in 134 games and has played 6,072 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Boston (+142)

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