Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 11/5/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026

Location: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Chicago Sports Network, WXPX-TV

Odds/Point Spread: Blackhawks (+315) Lightning (-350)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (9-3-2) will compete against the Chicago Blackhawks (4-10-1) at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has Chicago at +315 and Tampa Bay is sitting at -350. The over/under comes in at 6.5.

The Chicago Blackhawks will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 5-2 loss to the Avalanche their last time on the ice. The Blackhawks had a below average offensive outing in this defeat. In the game, they tallied a score on 2 of the 23 shots they tried. Furthermore, they had 4 attempts on the power play but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. Chicago accounted for 12 penalty mins for this contest.

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At even strength, the Blackhawks have surrendered 48 goals while notching 28 on offense. Chicago Blackhawks opponents have tallied 49 power play opportunities (18th in hockey) and have earned 10 goals in those attempts. In terms of their scoring capabilities, the Chicago Blackhawks have earned 33 goals (32nd in the National Hockey League) for the year and have conceded 58. Chicago has attempted 345 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.6%. For the current campaign, they have recorded 9 points and their points percentage sits at .300. The Blackhawks have seen 455 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .873. Chicago has accounted for 47 power play opportunities and they have tallied 5 goals out of those attempts, earning them a rate of 10.64%.

The man in net for this game is Arvid Soderblom. Soderblom has been involved in 115 contests over the course of his professional hockey career. He has compiled a record of 25-67-15 and he has started in 104 games. Opponents have been able to score 393 goals versus Soderblom in his pro hockey career and his goals against average is 3.78. Soderblom has had 3,433 shot attempts against him and has accrued 3,041 total saves. His save percentage currently is .886 during his 270 mins between the pipes. Over the course of his career, Soderblom has accounted for 41 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .394.

In their last game, Tampa Bay played the Red Wings in a game where the Lightning took home the victory by a final score of 4-2. They had 3 power play attempts in this outing and recorded 1 out of those chances. The Lightning recorded 4 goals of the 27 shots on goal they pursued.

Over the course of the season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accounted for 52 goals, 20 points, and a points percentage of .714. They have allowed 44 goals to be scored by way of 35 goals at even strength and 9 goals while they were shorthanded. The Lightning are sitting with 44 goals at even strength and 8 goals (20th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have a total of 49 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 16.33%. Tampa Bay has put up 418 shots (15th in the league) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 12.44%, while allowing their opponents 345 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 76.92% on the other teams 39 tries on the power play, and their save percentage currently comes in at 87.2%.

Across the rink you are going to see Andrei Vasilevskiy protecting the net. Teams are averaging 2.50 goals/game and he has given up 1,499 goals overall. Vasilevskiy's quality start percentage comes out to 58.8% and he has made 352 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He got the starting nod in 599 games and has played for a total of 28 minutes. Vasilevskiy has earned a lifetime mark of 377-181-40 and has been in goal for 609 games. He is sitting with 16,358 saves out of 17,854 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save percentage of .916.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Chicago (+315)

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